Who will qualify from each SF?

[Realest]

Who will qualify from Semifinal 1 2024?

Lets predict the 10 Qualifier from Semifinal 1.

www.escunited.com

Who will qualify from Semifinal 2 2024?

Lets predict the 10 Qualifiers from Semifinal 2.

www.escunited.com

 

[goncalovieira]

After RO...

Semifinal 1

Locks



Almost there



Borderline




Low Chance



The last three are chanceless, in my opinion.
The RO it self made Serbia and Slovenia really dirty. Portugal and Luxembourg were the lucky ones here.
About Ireland, even though the RO spot is not great, all the concept about the videoclip took some points here.
Semifinal 2 is way stronger, tho.

 

[anabanana2000]

My predictions (before pre-parties/ post RO)

Semi Final 1
Q -
Borderline -
NQ -

Semi Final 2
Q -
Borderline -
NQ -

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

I'm starting to think Georgia could make it, if Nutsa gives a strong performance and if the staging is energetic enough. I'm not convinced that Albania will be saved by diaspora votes.

 

[ESC Athens]

I'm starting to think Georgia could make it, if Nutsa gives a strong performance and if the staging is energetic enough. I'm not convinced that Albania will be saved by diaspora votes.

Diaspora votes or allies can't save a song if it's bad. Last year, Greece was in a very good R.O. and in easy SF with lots of allies and diaspora votes chances. Yet, it only got 14 points (12 from Cyprus and 2 from Armenia). Albania has to show a very interesting staging to advance, but for now this doesn't seem so likely.

 

[randajad]

Diaspora votes or allies can't save a song if it's bad.

True, they need something that they can get behind, either a great song or a recognisable face. There are artists that diaspora would vote even if their songs were just silence.

 

[ati0111]

My current prediction
Semi1
SURE
1.Croatia
2.Ukraine
3.Lithuania

LIKELY
4.Slovenia
5.Serbia

MAYBE
6.Finland
7.Ireland
8.Luxembourg
9.Cyprus
10.Poland

11.Portugal
12.Australia

UNLIKELY
13.Moldova
14.Azerbaijan

NO
15.Iceland

Semi2
VERY LIKELY
1.Netherlands
2.Belgium
3.Israel
4.Switzerland

LIKELY
5.Armenia
6.Norway

MAYBE
7.Estonia
8.Austria
9.Greece
10.Albania

11.Latvia
12.San Marino
13.Denmark
14.Georgia

UNLIKELY
15.Czechia
16.Malta

 

[GRE]

I will try to predict the exact order =>

SF1 =>
1. Ukraine
2. Croatia
3. Finland
4. Lithuania
5. Luxembourg
6. Poland
7. Serbia
8. Ireland
9. Azerbaijan
10. Australia
--------------------
11. Cyprus
12. Moldova
13. Portugal
14. Iceland
15. Slovenia


SF2=>
1. Netherlands
2. Estonia
3. Armenia
4. Austria
5. Greece
6. Israel
7. Belgium
8. Switzerland
9. San Marino
10. Denmark
----------------------
11. Norway
12. Georgia
13. Czechia
14. Albania
15. Latvia
16. Malta

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

I'm unconvinced that Portugal is safe. Personally I've tried a few times and can't gel with the song, nor can I hum it. I suspect viewers may not connect with it.
For now I think it will qualify but I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't.

 

[goncalovieira]

Portugal is a lock Q.
No chance.

Iceland, Moldova, Azerbaijan and Australia are chanceless. Apart from the fact that Ireland and Slovenia are not that strong...

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

Updating my SF2 NQs to: Albania, Denmark, Malta, Czechia, San Marino and Latvia.

I have moved Georgia to a 'borderline Q' and moved Denmark to a NQ.