2024 Winner predictions

[ESC94]

TBH I'm getting more and more confused each and every day because everyone can win this year basically

Really EVERYONE??

 

[lilka]

I'd really like to see Greece winning but I'm also aware that Marina's song may sound strange to others.
I think it will be a dark horse again.

 

[gigi_copp3]

Really EVERYONE??

Hera Bjork is the winner of Eurovision 2024, Reykjavik 2025

 

[Loindici]

Really EVERYONE??

EVEN NATALIA BARBU

 

[ESC94]

EVEN NATALIA BARBU

I was asking because I can´t see in which parallel universe can win this year.

 

[MopManMoss]

has winner vibes all over

rock ✔
middle eastern vibe ✔
sing along ✔
quirkyness ✔
televote ✔
country never won esc ✔

How does middle eastern vibe (what)/country that has never won/rock lead to a winner exactly?

We have had two rock winners and the general audience doesn't care even a tiny bit about whether or not a country has won previously when they vote as they probably have no idea

 

[Looren]

I think this year's result show will be one of the most fun to follow since literaly anything can happen

 

[elysian03]

I think it's too early to determine, who has a real chance of winning. Everything will get clearer, once the rehearsals start.

 

[hawadharma]

How does middle eastern vibe (what)/country that has never won/rock lead to a winner exactly?

We have had two rock winners and the general audience doesn't care even a tiny bit about whether or not a country has won previously when they vote as they probably have no idea

don't take me too seriously

 

[empo21]

I think it might just come down to who can present the most adequate performance and I think it's gonna be Italy.

 

[aef]

Am I the only one who thinks Norway could even be a surprise NQ?
It's far from having a shot at winning in my opinion

This. Giving me more Icebreaker vibes than any winning vibes.

 

[aef]

As I already mentioned I´m absolutely clueless about this year. But for some reason I have the feeling that some songs we´re expecting to rock the televote won´t do as well because they´ll only do well in certain parts of Europe, for example. I can see Joost getting good points (not necessarily though) in , , and as well as in Scandinavia, but I already read quite a few times here and there that this style of music was never that popular in Southern or Eastern Europe, so I could see these countries giving him fewer points in the televote.

Guess we have to wait and see what happens in Malmö, this is one of the most open races for the ESC crown in a very long time and I like that.

I’d say will be more popular in a those countries while will struggle in Western and Northern Europe. Therefore no 300+ televoting winner I guess.

Btw I’m totally confused by , why is it top 10 in the odds??? This isn’t top 10 material at all.

 

[AliceEsc]

I have a feeling juries will be more open to experimental/non mainstream songs this year.
There will be no runaway jury winner this year, so I think has a decent shot.
If votes are spread all over the place, my guess is:
jury winner
televote winner
/ ESC winner

But I'm terrible at predictions, last year I predicted top 3 with the juries

 

[gigi_copp3]

https://prof-farnsworth.fr/Eurovision2024/

I found this simulator of Eurovision in which you can settle the odds and simulate Eurovision.
Well, I got THIS result.

(Israel won televoting, Belgium won juries)

 

[goncalovieira]

We will have a winner with less than 400 points, won't we?

 

[Zeus]

The group of televote-friendly entries this year is so big and well wide-spread across Europe that I'm pretty sure the juries will decide the winner this year. The group of jury-pleasing entries is rather small, so it might be easier to get a very high jury score than a very high televote score. So, the winner would be one of the frontrunners in the juryvote who also does really well in the televote (but might not even need top 3 in it).

Faves based on great jury score + good to great televote score



Dark horses based on a good "average" score



Possible outsiders based on huge televote score + surprisingly decent jury score


Possible outsiders based on huge jury score + surprisingly decent televote score

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

I really hope Italy or Ukraine don't win. Italy is imo mediocre as a song and very overrated. Ukraine is better but still not great. New winner please, or someone who hasn't in ages.

 

[aef]

Can anyone please explain why is considered as a contender by 90 percent of people. The song is absolutely no winner material. And the war situation doesn’t produce a 300 televoting points situation anymore. Between 150 and 200 televoting points is possible again and maybe up to 100 jury points. But why should juries give this song more than 150 points or so?? It’s no jury song at all.

 

[Ezio]

Can anyone please explain why is considered as a contender by 90 percent of people. The song is absolutely no winner material. And the war situation doesn’t produce a 300 televoting points situation anymore. Between 150 and 200 televoting points is possible again and maybe up to 100 jury points. But why should juries give this song more than 150 points or so?? It’s no jury song at all.

I can explain that: It's a great and unique song. You're welcome.

 

[Ezio]

https://prof-farnsworth.fr/Eurovision2024/

I found this simulator of Eurovision in which you can settle the odds and simulate Eurovision.
Well, I got THIS result.

(Israel won televoting, Belgium won juries)

It looked like fun until the Spanish jury awarded 12 points to Finland. That's when I cancelled the show.