Who will qualify from Semifinal 2?

[SpiritofKeiino]

Final prediction before rehearsals:
1. Austria
2. Cyprus
3. Slovenia
4. Armenia
5. Lithuania
6. Georgia
7. Australia
8. Belgium
9. Estonia
10. Greece
----------------
11. Denmark
12. Albania
13. Iceland
14. Poland
15. Romania
16. San Marino

This is similar to my prediction except I think Denmark will scrape over the line and qualify, and that one of Greece or Estonia will NQ. It's really very hard to call, the standard of this semi is not good overall so it feels like there's not much to distinguish the quality of the songs by.

 

[Kitakaze]

As per my pre-rehearsal picks, still the same 10 though even less certain of the rankings now.

01 Austria
02 Australia
03 Slovenia
04 Armenia
05 Cyprus
06 Lithuania
07 Poland
08 Belgium
09 Georgia
10 Denmark
_________________
11 Greece
12 Estonia
13 Albania
14 Iceland
15 Romania
16 San Marino

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

Just wondering if diaspora votes alone could save Greece, if the actual performance ends up being as weak as that rehearsal. I need to check the voting patterns from the last few years to see

I know Albania gets a certain amount of diaspora votes but looking at their record, they've NQd quite a few times so diaspora alone ain't enough. I rather like Duje so hoping it qualifies but I do think it's likely a NQ right now

 

[rasmuslights]

Just wondering if diaspora votes alone could save Greece, if the actual performance ends up being as weak as that rehearsal. I need to check the voting patterns from the last few years to see

I know Albania gets a certain amount of diaspora votes but looking at their record, they've NQd quite a few times so diaspora alone ain't enough. I rather like Duje so hoping it qualifies but I do think it's likely a NQ right now

and they also don't have Montenegro, N. Macedonia, Switzerland and Italy this year.

Only Greece (but they're giving their 12 to Cyprus) and then Slovenia and Austria but they rarely give them top marks - more 2s and 3s...

 

[GermanBango]

My prediction for Semi 2 would go like this:

Truly a nail biter.

 

[SpiritofKeiino]

I

My prediction for Semi 2 would go like this:

Truly a nail biter.

Interesting ,have you an equivalent sheet for SF1?

 

[Citelis]

My prediction for Semi 2 would go like this:

Truly a nail biter.

In the semifinals Albania didn't give 12 to Amanda or Stefania and they will give 12 to Victor?

 

[GermanBango]

@SpiritofKeiino yea in the Semi 1 thread.

@Citelis I'm not saying it's gonna happen 100%. Just wouldn't be surprised of it did.

 

[blue00eyes]

NQ : San Marino, Greece, Denmark, Albania, Iceland and Romania

 

[Looren]

Let's try after rehearsals :



I hope Albania makes it but well

 

[Ezio]

My prediction for Semi 2 would go like this:

Truly a nail biter.

Austria is not giving 12 televoting points to Armenia. Most likely Australia or Slovenia. Cyprus 8 points, Denmark 7 points.
Then diaspora pity points for Romania, thereofwhich we have much more people than from Albania, Poland might get some, and then finally some points for Armenia and I'd guess Iceland.

 

[Ezio]

Just wondering if diaspora votes alone could save Greece, if the actual performance ends up being as weak as that rehearsal. I need to check the voting patterns from the last few years to see

I know Albania gets a certain amount of diaspora votes but looking at their record, they've NQd quite a few times so diaspora alone ain't enough. I rather like Duje so hoping it qualifies but I do think it's likely a NQ right now

Albania's biggest donors are North Macedonia, Montenegro and Switzerland.

 

[Citelis]

So i will try another prediction now that we have seen rehearsals and i will see after the semifinal which of the two was closer

The top4 are locked i think. Still can't tell who wins the semi but it's probably between Austria and Slovenia. My main problem is that i don't like any of the top4 songs so it's difficult for me to tell. Only Austria's song is interesting for me but the staging doesn't seem impressive so far.
Lithuania and Estonia won't qualify both i guess. Lithuania is more likely to make it because Estonia has very bad running order and song sounds more dated. I have seen people saying that Lithuania could be the shock nq but i hope not.
Albania is probably safe but i really dislike the song. Odds underrate them a lot.
Georgia also shouldn't have any issues.
Cyprus is more of a jury thing but he still qualifies i think. Shock NQ still possible.
Poland's pack seems kinda 'cheap' even for average viewer but she will probably make it.
Belgium is borderline because of the terrible song but it looks good on stage and he will probably make it too.
Denmark has bad song but could qualify instead of Belgium or any other shock NQ.
The other 4 are all dead.

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[Realest]

In the right Order:

around 120 Points
around 115 Points
around 105 Points
around 100 Points
around 85 Points
around 80 Points
around 75 Ponts
around 70 Points
around 65 Points
around 60 Points
______________________

around 55 Points
around 50 Points
around 40 Points
around 35 Points
around 25 Points
around 10 Points

No significant Changes after the Rehearsals:

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10

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16

 

[Alevender]

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[Ana Raquel]

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Your forum title

 

[Zeus]

My pre-show prediction:

Q











NQ







I also predict that this whole semi will televote-flop in the final (maybe apart from 1 or 2 entries). Estonia and Belgium could do very well with juries.

 

[Kant1]

I really hope Iceland qualifies over Poland/Denmark, even if I doubt of it

 

[Gera11]

01 Austria
02 Armenia
03 Cyprus
04 Poland
05 Belgium
06 Australia
07 Georgia
08 Slovenia
09 Albania
10 Lithuania
----
11 Iceland
12 Estonia
13 Denmark
14 Greece
15 San Marino
16 Romania

 

[ati0111]

After rehearsals:
1.Austria 95%
I will be very surprised if they dont win the semi.

2.Cyprus 90%
He has Greece and Australia;
a good song, good staging, and he has the voice too, he shouldn't rely on backing vocals that much...

3.Slovenia 80%
Great song and they are very likeable. The fact that it's fully in native language is an advantage.

4.Armenia 80%
It's quality and popular enough.

5.Poland 78%
I think it will be like Say Na Na Na. People gonna vote for it and not because it's good.

6.Australia 78%
Even if they sound and look alright, it's a boring song and I doubt it will do too well.

7.Lithuania 75%
They are always strong with televote. Okay song, good running order.

8.Georgia 70%
Even with nonsense lyrics it's a likely qualifier.

9.Belgium 66%
It's an uplifting song that stands out.

10.Estonia 52%
I think her good vocals will be appreciated and there's an audience for this song.

11.Denmark 49%
I really can't decide how will the public react to this. Right now I'd say it will be forgotten by the end of the night.

12.Greece 45%
If he stops jumping and sings better there is a slight chance thanks to some friendly countries. Propably NQ but i hope he comes back stronger in a few years.

13.Albania 38%
I dont see why would anyone vote for this.

14.Iceland 35%
The song would deserve the final but it doesn't look good.

15.Romania 10%
Nothing can save this

16.San Marino 1%
I dont think it's awful but i'm curious if it will get any points.