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Semi-Finals : Jury Vote VS Televote - Who will WIN?

crashworld

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May 12, 2018
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I know it's still early in the days since rehearsals have not started and pre-parties just barely started.
But based on the studio recordings and some of the 'live' performances you have seen (regardless at National Finals/promo tour/pre-parties etc).
Who do you think will win the jury vote and/or televote for both semi-finals?

Let's discuss.
 

Realest

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Semi1:

Jurywinner: :au:
TVWinner: :pt:
Overall: :pt:

Semi2:

Both: :nl:

Final:
Both: :nl:
 

crashworld

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For me, as of now ( I didn't take into consideration of any potential neighbour voting):

Semi-Final 1
Jury Vote Winner: Slovenia
Televote Winner: Cyprus

Semi 1 is really hard to predict especially for jury vote winner. Because this final is so diverse that I got a feeling the jury votes will get split between many entries. I chose Slovenia because I think it's a pretty credible and unique song, I got a feeling the juries may reward it. It may not get the top votes, but will get enough consistent votes and become the winner of the juries due to the split of the jury votes.
As for televote winner, I think it will be Cyprus given it is the only song out there with the mainstream appeal (besides Belgium, Estonia, Darude and Czech Republic, which are not really fan favourites).

Semi-Final 2
Jury Vote Winner: The Netherlands
Televote Winner: Russia

As for Semi 2, I think it's pretty clear cut. The jury vote will be a close fight between The Netherlands and Sweden, with The Netherlands edging it due to how authentic the song is.
Russia will win the televote given Sergey is a widely known European star and I am pretty sure the staging will wow the viewers. But there is a nagging feeling that The Netherlands may win the televote also if he manages to connect with the audience with this song.
 

Preuss

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I'm not sure about the first-semi final, but I definitely think :gr: has a good chance of winning the jury vote when Katerine delivers as we all know she can. :cy: has the potential to do well, but won't win it so that leaves me with :au: - and I wouldn't be surprised if Kate won it but right now I feel like it might go both ways for her - preferably to win the jury vote of course because Kate is amazing xlove

To call out a televote winner before the rehearsals is hard, but I guess :gr: and :cy: have a good shot of winning the televote - maybe even :is:

Second semi-final I'd say :se: or :nl: to win the jury vote and :ru: or :nl: to win the tele :D
 

Realest

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Full Prediction Semi1:

Jury:

01 :au:
02 :cy:
03 :pt:
04 :sl:
05 :be:
06 :hu:
07 :by:
08 :is:
09 :cz:
10 :gr:
11 :rs:
12 :ee:
13 :sm:
14 :me:
15 :pl:
16 :fi:
17 :ge:

Televoting:

01 :pt:
02 :is:
03 :cy:
04 :hu:
05 :au:
06 :by:
07 :sl:
08 :cz:
09 :ee:
10 :be:
11 :pl:
12 :rs:
13 :gr:
14 :sm:
15 :me:
16 :ge:
17 :fi:
 

Realest

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Full Prediction Semi2:

Jury:

01 :nl:
02 :mt:
03 :se:
04 :ru:
05 :az:
06 :al:
07 :mk:
08 :am:
09 :ch:
10 :no:
11 :at:
12 :ro:
13 :lt:
14 :ie:
15 :md:
16 :dk:
17 :hr:
18 :lv:

Televoting:

01 :nl:
02 :no:
03 :ru:
04 :ch:
05 :mt:
06 :az:
07 :se:
08 :lt:
09 :al:
10 :am:
11 :ro:
12 :dk:
13 :mk:
14 :md:
15 :ie:
16 :hr:
17 :lv:
18 :at:
 

Citelis

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Austria will be on juries top 5 but on t/v they won't do well! They will qualify probably 9th or 10th!
 

henhu

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It's hard to predict SF 1, but SF 2 according to my simulation:

JuryTelevotingOverall
1. :se: (143)
2. :nl: (132)
3. :mt: (110)
4. :am: (109)
5. :ch: (98)
6. :at: (82)
7. :ru: (72)
8. :mk: (68)
9. :dk: (60)
10. :ro: (52)
11. :az: (49)
12. :al: (37)
13. :ie: (36)
14. :lt: (32)
15. :lv: (27)
16. :no: (26)
17. :md: (19)
18. :hr: (18)
1. :ch: (171)
2. :nl: (155)
3. :ru: (122)
4. :se: (85)
5. :am: (72)
6. :mt: (70)
7. :no: (69)
8. :mk: (60)
9. :lt: (58)
10. :az: (55)
11. :ro: (52)
12. :al: (51)
13. :dk: (34)
14. :at: (25)
15. :lv: (15)
16. :ie: (22) :rolleyes:
17. :hr: (21)
18. :md: (14)
1. :nl: (287)
2. :ch: (269)
3. :se: (228)
4. :ru: (194)
5. :am: (181)
6. :mt: (180)
7. :mk: (122)
8. :at: (107)
9. :az: (104)
10. :ro: (104)
11. :no: (95)
12. :dk: (94)
13. :lt: (90)
14. :al: (88)
15. :ie: (58)
16. :lv: (51)
17. :hr: (35)
18. :md: (33)
 

anaraqueen

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come to brazil
s1

j: :rs: (lmao i have no idea on this one ngl the ones i thought as jury winners aka :be: and :gr: had bad lives this season so far and both :sl: and :pt: are a mystery to me so i'm choosing serbia because yes)
t: :cy:
o: :cy:

s2

j: :nl:
t: :ru:
o: :se:
 

BorisBubbles

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Tumblr, mostly.
I'm not big on predicting split results, but I will share whom I believe will do better in what vote:

SF1:
Does better with juries: :cy:, :sl:, :cz:, :hu:, :be:, :ee:, :gr: (predicted jury winner :be:)
Does better with the audience: :me:, :pl:, :au:, :is:, :pt:, :sm: (predicted televote winner (:is:)
Will do about as well (or poorly) in both: :fi:, :by:, :rs:, :ge:

SF2:
Does better with juries: :ie:, :ro:, :dk:, :se:, :at:, :mt:, :al: (predicted jury winner: :nl:)
Does better with the audience: :md:, :ch:, :lv:, :hr:, :no:, :mk:, :az: (predicted televote winner :nl: lol)
Will do about as well (or poorly) in both: :am:, :lt:, :ru:, :nl:


Autoqualifiers:
Does better with juries: :de:, :il:
Does better with the audience: :fr:, :es:
Will do about as well (or poorly) in both: :it:, :uk:
 

Citelis

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@People there is no way Greece do well with juries! If we get their 9th or 10th place we should start celebrating!
 

Kaz

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January 12, 2014
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Sydney
SF1
Jury
1. :gr:
2. :cy:
3. :sl:

Televote
1. :is:
2. :cy:
3. :pt:

Overall
1. :cy:
2. :gr:
3. :au:

SF2
Jury
1. :se:
2. :nl:
3. :az:

Televote
1. :ru:
2. :nl:
3. :ch:

Overall
1. :nl:
2. :se:
3. :ru:
 

Realest

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Location
Germany
^All except :fi::ge::me:
 
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