Semifinal draw predictions

[goncalovieira]

Portugal in 12th... seems so early for a favorite.

 

[QwaarJet]

This is always tough, but always fun, so here goes!

Semi 1 - first half

1. Cyprus
2. Poland
3. Montenegro
4. Belarus
5. Hungary
6. Finland
7. Serbia
8. Slovenia
9. Czech Republic

Semi 1 - second half

10. Georgia
11. Portugal
12. Belgium
13. San Marino
14. Greece
15. Iceland
16. Estonia
17. Australia


Semi 2 - first half

1. Sweden
2. Latvia
3. Romania
4. Ireland
5. Armenia
6. Moldova
7. Switzerland
8. Austria
9. Denmark

Semi 2 - second half

10. Lithuania
11. Macedonia
12. Croatia
13. Netherlands
14. Norway
15. Albania
16. Malta
17. Russia
18. Azerbaijan

 

[Schlagerman1]

This might be the hardest year ever to guess the running order, but here is what I think:

SEMI 1:
1. (They need to start off with something happy, but that is not among the favorites, and this song fits the best I believe)
2. (Something calmer, and also since it has a folky sound, it needs to be put a bit aside from the others that has it as well)
3. (Need uptempo again, and something that is in the same level as Czech Republic, we all know that Christer likes putting these "duels" to push one of the two songs out, and this might be the one to challenge the Czechs)
4. (Time to calm this down further, is also a little similar to Hungary in terms of rhythm)
5. (The first half doesn't have as divisive songs as the 2nd half, but I see Montenegro as one of the most ones in this half, so it is for the best to put the two together, so they don't make people watching change channel too quickly)
6. (Maybe the most divisive song in this song, so it is for the best to put it right before the first break)
---BREAK--- (I believe breaks will be put between 6-7 and 12-13 in both semis)
7. (Finland may have the act that has the most props in this half, so I believe they will get this slot, just to assure that everything is put in place)
8. (Need a ballad again)
9. (Being one of the favorites in the semi, I believe they want to put them as much further down as possible)
10. (With very few ballads in the 2nd half, I believe that Georgia is the one that is the closest to Serbia genrewise, both being rockish ballads)
11. (Need something to fight Cyprus, and Estonia is the one that is the closest genrewise. Also being rather close to Finland seems fair in the duel aspect, since they and Estonia has quite similar songs)
12. (Need something divisive before the break and one of the most ones in the contest is Portugal. People need time to digest this and also make up their mind about it)
--BREAK--
13. (I have heard that the performance might change, but if it is the same amount of props as the NF, then Australia gets this position.
14. (Needs something not as extreme now and Belgium is by far the best choice at this spot)
15. (Back to crazy and also something happy after quite serious tones lately)
16. (The last woman out is really needed here, also fights with Belgium for the same votes, the non-crazy acts at the end)
17. (We have to put Iceland last. Anything that is put after it will completly kill off the next song, since people watching will be talking a lot after this song. It is only fair to put it last)

SEMI 2:
1. (This semi is almost impossible to guess, but I put Armenia here in the end. It is a cool umtempo song that stands out directly, while not being among the top favorites.
2. (Time to calm things down, and this fits the best I think)
3. (Needs to be in a uptempo battle with Armenia, though I think both can go through nevertheless)
4. (Fights with Latvia about the same votes)
5. (Something midtempo in the middle fits)
6. (Time to put one of the faves in now and a song people will talk about during the break. This works IMO, since we don't have too many divisive songs in this half)
--BREAK--
7. (A traditional ballad that also keep the Romanian viewers watching.
8. (Something slightly uptempo at least to keep the show interesting)
9. (Another ballad, even if this and Moldova is rather different from each other)
10. (Fights with Ireland with quite the same votes and also make the Lithuanian diaspora on the island awake a little longer)
11. (An another ballad fight between Austria and N. Macedonia.
12. (Needs something uptempo and a performance I feel might get pretty divisive. Will be interesting to see where Christer and his ESC-gang puts this in the running order)
--BREAK--
13. (Needs a male ballad here)
14. (Norway is the only song here that feels for real uptempo in this half and with so many midtempo and slow songs, they need to be put somewhere in the middle)
15. (Time for one of the favorites and an another male ballad)
16. (Even if both NL and Albania has quite dark and slow songs, they do have different temperatures and that is why I put them next to each other)
17. (Must have something rather uptempo now and this fits very well here towards the end)
18. (With so many ballads this half, it feels like we must end it all with a ballad, and why not put the man everyone will be curious about watching on the ESC-stage again. Is also close to the dramatic ballad from Albania and as well as the male ballad, and fellow favorite, Netherlands, so it is easy to compare for the viewers)

So yeah, something like that. I am probably wrong on many parts, but it is fun to guess at least!

 

[aef]

Okay so all I know is that and look like the obvious openers and and like a obvious closer.

 

[Kitakaze]

Channeling some inner Christer this is what I came up with. Seems like there are so many scenarios they could run with this year given the difficulty of balancing out the slower female acts in the first half of semi 2 and the abundance of males in the second half of semi 2.

Semi Final 1
1 Czech Republic M (upbeat, party starter, good energy)
2 Belarus F (uptempo, dance)
3 Montenegro M/F (mid-tempo, group, keeping things upbeat)
4 Serbia F (ethnic, orchestral, melancholy ballad)
5 Finland M (mid-tempo, melancholy, dance)
6 Poland F (ethnic, divisive)
— break
7 Cyprus F (bop, favourite, uptempo)
8 Hungary M (melancholy, ethnic, warm, folk)
9 Slovenia F (atmospheric, quiet, cold, melancholy)
— second half
10 Georgia M (angry, power ballad)
11 Estonia M (uptempo pop, uplifting, pop)
12 Portugal M (divisive, interesting)
- break
13 Australia F (theatrical, uplifting, cinematic finish)
14 Belgium M (mellow, melancholy, mid-tempo pop)
15 San Marino M (fun, uptempo)
16 Iceland M (dark, metal, favourite)
17 Greece F (uptempo, uplifting, pop)

Semi Final 2
1. Armenia F (uptempo, empowering, high impact)
2. Denmark F (light, uplifting, welcoming)
3. Moldova F (mid-tempo, power ballad)
4. Switzerland M (uptempo, favourite, breaks up the females)
5. Latvia F (mellow, quiet, melancholy)
6. Romania F (dark, brooding, pop)
— break
7. Sweden M (uplifting, favourite, breaks up the females)
8. Austria F (melancholy, brooding, alternative)
9. Ireland F (light, pop, brings some pace back)
— second half
10. Lithuania M (midtempo ballad, uplifting)
11. North Macedonia F (mellow, stirring, melancholy ballad)
12. Russia M (theatrical, power ballad, favourite)
— break
13. Azerbaijan M (contemporary, uptempo, high impact)
14. Albania F (power ballad, high impact, ethnic)
15. The Netherlands M (gentle, melancholy, favourite)
16. Malta F (upbeat pop, original, favourite)
17. Croatia M (mid-tempo, melancholy, power ballad)
18. Norway M/F (uptempo, uplifting, high impact)

 

[Romeo]

Do we know when the running orders will be known?

 

[esc87fan]

Do we know when the running orders will be known?

I would think the next couple of weeks, since rehearsals start at the end of April for the main artists and before that for the stand-ins

 

[Jim]

SF1

01 FINLAND
02 CZECH REPUBLIC
03 HUNGARY
04 SLOVENIA
05 BELARUS
06 MONTENEGRO
07 POLAND
08 CYPRUS
09 SERBIA
10 ICELAND
11 BELGIUM
12 GEORGIA
13 SAN MARINO
14 PORTUGAL
15 ESTONIA
16 GREECE
17 AUSTRALIA

 

[EscUKFan]

My wild guess

SF1
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.

SF2
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.

 

[Pawhlen]

Last year, the running order was announced on 3rd April, so probably next week will we have the official running order for the semis

 

[Pawhlen]

Running order is out:

Semi-Final 1:

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.

Semi-Final 2:

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.

 

[0scar]

Lol @ at place 8 in the first half of semi 2 and at 4.

Honestly think that can be forgotten when follows with a strong performance

 

[Citelis]

is a safe qualifier and will probably win the SF1!

 

[Pawhlen]

Lol @ at place 8 in the first half of semi 2 and at 4.

Honestly think that can be forgotten when follows with a strong performance

probably has the best position since it´s surrounded by two ballads in and

The most important is not the actual number, it´s which songs you have before and after and based on that, is the biggest winner

 

[0scar]

Because and are indeed very hard songs to be squeezed in between when your entry is 'Too Late For Love'. Nah Sweden got a good draw, which isn't surprising as it's also high in the odds but I felt like should have the later draw of those two

Why at starting position 2

 

[henhu]

Semi-final 1

1. Czech Republic 2. Montenegro 3. Finland 4. Hungary 5. Belarus 6. Poland 7. Serbia 8. Cyprus 9. Slovenia

10. Australia 11. Belgium 12. Iceland 13. Georgia 14. Estonia 15. Portugal 16. Greece 17. San Marino

6/17 (with last 4 correct)

Semi-final 1Semi-final 2

1. Denmark 2. Sweden 3. Armenia 4. Ireland 5. Moldova 6. Latvia 7. Switzerland 8. Romania 9. Austria

10. Lithuania 11. Albania 12. The Netherlands 13. Azerbaijan 14. Croatia 15. Malta 16. Russia 17. Macedonia 18. Norway

2/18