Spain and the Anglo-saxons will flop hard. Germany is hard to predict, because it all comes down to atmosphere and stage setup, plus Germany is either hit or miss (suddenly winning in 2010, but flopped big time in 2013, etc.). If anything, She needs to nail the performance. Bring in the cardboard trees!
Russia will advance from the Semis with ease, but won't win. Ukraine is by far their biggest threat. Ukraine may also play the victim role (again!) with great success, the Russian is not singing about peace this time around, but it won't help because Ukraine reminds them of their peaceful history anyway. Also, the Ukraine middle-8 is much more epic than the Russian one. Ukraine will get many sympathizers and steal votes from the Russian neighbors. Russia is very much dependent on the block-voting. I can imagine Norway and Sweden give 8 points to Ukraine, but I just can't see any of our neighbors giving any high points to Russia, let alone giving them points at all. Ukraine is the "new Euphoria" and fits that roll very well.
Some argue about Australia. But in my view, I find Australia to be very weak this year. Armenia is not "epic enough" to win. Sweden will end up on a nice and neat 10th place.
will win and 9gag will be full of posts of americans mocking europeans for not knowing geography
