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Who will qualify from Semifinal 1?

Who will qualify from Semi 1?

  • :lt: Lithuania

    104 96.3%
  • :sl: Slovenia

    18 16.7%
  • :ru: Russia

    75 69.4%
  • :se: Sweden

    89 82.4%
  • :au: Australia

    37 34.3%
  • :mk: North Macedonia

    3 2.8%
  • :ie: Ireland

    47 43.5%
  • :cy: Cyprus

    87 80.6%
  • :no: Norway

    65 60.2%
  • :hr: Croatia

    57 52.8%
  • :be: Belgium

    66 61.1%
  • :il: Israel

    44 40.7%
  • :ro: Romania

    83 76.9%
  • :az: Azerbaijan

    85 78.7%
  • :ua: Ukraine

    87 80.6%
  • :mt: Malta

    106 98.1%

  • Total voters
    108
  • This poll will close: .

Iker

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March 13, 2018
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Well the juries usually rank Malta high so it's clearly possible, Ana is in my top 5 but I'm scared of an NQ for her

Honestly if I was in age I would've put some money on Croatia winning 'cause I'm really sure that Albina can win :lol:
Lol, her NQ is almost certain. I was more scared of that boring song actually pulling off a Q but that running order most likely dooms it.
 
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Jopi

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I think Ana can be top2/3 with the juries.... So it actually depends if on the public... Will the public completely roast her lol
 

Citelis

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Slovenia's entry is not jury friendly as many people think because it has a religious feeling which is not what juries are looking for. At least i think so.
 

anaraqueen

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March 3, 2018
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come to brazil
Anja qualified in 2017 with 5 points from the televote. Ana can manage to qualify just with jury support.

Imo it 100% depends on the juries and how much they will support her. Televote will definitely not help her. I wouldn't rule her out.
 

Remisan

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March 25, 2021
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My prediction: :mt::se::no::lt::cy::ua::az::hr::ro::ru:

My personal choice: :be::lt::az::ua::ro::cy::il::mt::hr: + ? (I don't care, the rest are not my type of music)
 
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Zonne147

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As much as I appreciate "Amen", I have been tried to be as impartial as possible and honestly I don't really see :sl: qualifying.

I may be wrong in May but I think people should "get over" the fact that great vocals don't necessarily mean the song will be in the top 3/5 with juries... We have had several well-delivered vocal performances being put out of the final by juries in and pretty average ones finding their way to the final thanks to them.

Despite the fact that I think Ana Soklic is one of the best singers we've had in the contest mostly because of her distinctive voice, I don't really see juries going crazy considering how jury friendly that semi (apparently) is and I don't think "Amen", as a song, is strong enough to get massive jury support.

I kinda of get Georgia 2017 vibes, bottom qualifier with juries and a NQ with the televote and that cost Tamara a place in a final.
 
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Iker

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I think Ana can be top2/3 with the juries.... So it actually depends if on the public... Will the public completely roast her lol
I doubt she will. The lyrics are too blatantly religious for their liking and there are multiple other possible jury-baits or jury-friendly entries in this semifinal that are going to nab some higher points in many countries (probably Israel, Belgium, Sweden, Malta). She's not pulling off her 'Anja from :dk:' scenario I think. And that running order will not do her favours either for the televote.

But I admit that my gut feeling after listening to it for the first time (it was a live presentation of the entry) was 'this will Q'. But If I use logical reasoning analysing it then I don't see it anymore.
 
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Jopi

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I dont know, my gut has been telling me Slovenia will go to finals. The running order dosn’t matter to juries eather way..
We know that Sweden and Malta will be top3 juries as always.. But the third spot might be Ana’s.
I’d personally prefered if it was Belgium doing really well with juries.
 

midnightsun

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Germany
The running order dosn’t matter to juries eather way..

Exactly.

However, I don't think Ana's song is especially jury-friendly. She might get points from some Eastern countries but Western juries ... I think they won't. They would have if it was 2009 and the juries were just re-introduced. Today, their voting criteria differs significantly.
 

Jopi

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Croatia
We'll see... One ballad will probably be really high, and it's between Slovenia, N. Macedonia, Belgium and maybe even Romania.
 

Zonne147

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We'll see... One ballad will probably be really high, and it's between Slovenia, N. Macedonia, Belgium and maybe even Romania.

Between these I'd say Romania, with a good vocal and stage performance I can't really see juries not going for it. I also see Belgium getting jury love but not sure with North Macedonia, the whole thing is probably a bit too messy, I get Georgia 2018 vibes
 

Jopi

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Between these I'd say Romania, with a good vocal and stage performance I can't really see juries not going for it. I also see Belgium getting jury love but not sure with North Macedonia, the whole thing is probably a bit too messy, I get Georgia 2018 vibes
I literally never know what to predict with juries... If they act as expert jury then maybe we would be able to predict...
 

Schlagerman1

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I made a guess on how every country would vote, jury and televote. Here is the total score of it all:

(Total jury score + Total televote score)
1. :mt: 171 + 148 = 319
2. :lt: 116 + 181 = 297
3. :cy: 103 + 136 = 239
4. :se: 143 + 72 = 215
5. :ua: 45 + 95 = 140
6. :il: 69 + 60 = 129
7. :az: 38 + 86 = 124
8. :be: 86 + 30 = 116
9. :ro: 73 + 42 = 115
10. :ru: 40 + 72 = 112
----------------------------------------
11. :ie: 68 + 32 = 100
12. :no: 33 + 57 = 90
13. :hr: 30 + 35 = 65
14. :au: 17 + 36 = 53
15. :sl: 42 + 11 = 53
16. :mk: 28 + 9 = 37

Still, we don't know what will happen on stage in may so things can change a lot, but it is fun to guess. :D
 

Jopi

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And N. Macedonia so low with the juries? And Slovenia? I really don't think so.
 

Schlagerman1

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And N. Macedonia so low with the juries? And Slovenia? I really don't think so.
Well only one of them will probably do decently and I think Slovenia will do fine (she would still be 9th among the juries). The song is a bit weirdly constructed which might harm their chances a bit. NM though I think is too much musical and will put off most jurymembers.
 

Schlagerman1

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October 1, 2009
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Australia last with the juries ? I don't think it's possible
Maybe I overexaggerated the jury point, but my point being is that Australia with struggle quite a bit with getting votes from both. The song is good, it is among my top 20 personally, but I can totally see juries and televoters enjoy it, but not give it any high marks. Also with the news today that Montaigne isn't going to Rotterdam will hurt their chances even more I believe, especially with the televoters...
 
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