Who WILL qualify from Semi 2?

[Realest]

Predict who will qualify:

The Poll is open until 13.05. in order to make possible Changes after the last Revamps, the Reveal of the Runningorder, the Rehearsals.

 

[midnightsun]

Wow. This is such a weak semi! At the moment I can only see 3 safe qualifiers: Bulgaria, Greece and Switzerland.

Very probable: Iceland, Denmark, Serbia, Georgia

Also pass because of weak contenders: Poland, San Marino, Albania

 

[BorisBubbles]

I'll dive in deeper later, but safe in this semi are Iceland, Serbia, Bulgaria, Denmark and Switzerland. Everybody else is fair game.

 

[luli]

Bulgeria
Iceland
Serbia
Greece
Switzerland
Albania
Poland
Georgia
Latvia
Armenia

 

[Realest]

First Prediction:

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[AleksTheDino]

Random order: Bulgaria, Switzerland, Greece, Iceland, Denmark, Georgia, Portugal, Armenia, Serbia, Czech Republic

 

[Ana Raquel]

I'll leave the last spot open because I'll wait on Armenia's revamp AND I'm torn between four songs: - AT THE MOMENT I'd believe in a ~shocking NQ and go with

This semi is hard to tell though. Everybody (even Estonia and Finland) have chances.

 

[Ezio]

This semifinal is very weak, obvious qualifiers for me are

Obvious non-qualifiers for me are

I don't want to qualify for but I think will

is weak for me but unique enough in that semi to qualify, weaker but also likely to qualify. Male uptempo pop usually qualifies for the final

hits the vocals and has a shot

could pull a Triana Park, but I think they would qualify

usually qualifies with old-fashioned, inoffensive crap so they will again

has killed themselves with the revamp.

 

[Sabrewulf238]

I think my prediction right now is...

Safe Qualifiers
Iceland
Bulgaria
Switzerland
Greece
Georgia

Likely Qualifiers
Latvia
Austria
Denmark

Borderline Qualifiers
Serbia (my reasoning, is I think the juries are going to rate it poorly but the public vote will probably be enough to see it through)
Czech Republic
_______________________________________

Borderline Non Qualifiers
Poland
San Marino
Estonia

Non Qualifiers
Albania
Portugal
Finland
Moldova
Armenia

Out of the non qualifiers, I think San Marino could surprise. I feel like people always tend to see San Marino as a no hoper but sometimes they surprise. Especially when this semi isn't all that strong.

Also I get a vibe from Estonia that it could be that "song nearly everyone doesn't like but somehow qualifies anyway" entry.

Poland is just because out of the non qualifying ballads, she seems the most powerful vocally and in terms of stage presence.

 

[Alaska49]

this might indeed be the weakest semi since 2015, or maybe even 2012. why is it always semi 2 that ends up like this?

LOCKITY LOCKS:
PROBABLY SAFE:
SHOULDN'T BE IN DANGER BUT DON'T FUCK UP:
THANKS TO THE WEAK FIELD THIS HAS AN ATYPICALLY GOOD CHANCE:
MY 10TH SPOT:
COULD JUST AS WELL BE THE 10TH (AND 9TH, 8TH ETC):
ONLY HAVE A CHANCE BECAUSE THIS SEMI IS A SHITHOLE:
LET'S NOT SPEAK ILL OF THE DEAD:

 

[Zonne147]

is my guess

Safe:
Likely:
Not likely but not borderline:
Borderline +:
Borderline -:
NQ:

 

[Edweis]

I'm bad at predictions, and the fact this semi is pretty open doesn't help, but let's try anyway


Other potential qualifiers :

 

[ESC94]

My sponaneous guesses:

But I´ll most likely fail miserably at predictions, as always.

 

[crashworld]

I feel this semi is very open as we may have songs that will cancel out each others.
First thoughts (based on studio version):

- Sure-Qualifiers:
- Likely Qualifiers:
- Borderline Qualifiers:

Armenia and Latvia will cancel each other out hence getting average televotes, both will tank in jury votes.
Estonia and Moldova will cancel each other out due to dated ballads and both will tank in jury votes and do averagely in televotes.
Czech Republic and Poland will get jury love but tank in televotes.
Finland and Portugal will tank in both jury and televotes.

 

[Uto]

: Absolutely
: Televote appeal appears strong
: Jury appeal appears strong

Very unsure about , seems like and are most likely alternatives.

EDIT: Chech revamp happened. They are hopeless now it seems, reactions are really bad for some reason.

 

[njdevils94]

The only songs I see absolutely safe right now are and

 

[Nemo89]

 

[BorisBubbles]

10th March: Qualifiers before my first rewatch and after everyone's been revealed:

QF: Bulgaria / Iceland / Serbia / Switzerland
ADV: Czechia / Denmark / Greece
BL: Estonia / Georgia
RISK: Albania / Austria / Latvia / Poland / Portugal
NQ: Armenia / Finland / Moldova / San Marino

Lmao is it really that clear-cut, that can't be it right.

 

[Zonne147]

is my guess

Safe:
Likely:
Not likely but not borderline:
Borderline +:
Borderline -:
NQ:

After the revamp is definitely a borderline - for me

I think and are very very safe. is probably safe too but for me it's just probably so I put it in the very likely level along with
and are likely but not really confident at all, because they seem to be just liked and not loved that has been a big problem in the past , may be a big fan flop and I don't see them getting many jury points...
and are in an intermediate level because I see both flopping. probably more than , juries may find trashy and outdated but remember they also vote for the voice and for the performance and Samanta is flawless imo... About now, I want to see him performing this song live, but I don't think this is safe at all

I think they have better chances than most of you think, they are not going to finish high with televote but I think juries will appreciate the song and the vocalist very much. is a bit bold by now but I think the song is good enough to qualify.

Today (and especially ) made me believe they may have less chances of making it ( vs , one of them will make it)... I see going through too, same with - I expect juries to give value this one

NQ are not really sure for me. I don't see getting appreciation by the juries/televoters (the song is not impressive and vocally it needs to be way better too)... may get through because fans always complain about cheesy and uninspired songs but the average viewer and some juries see things fans don't, but I don't think this is enough to go through

is catchy but not as much as last year, will be tanked by juries I believe

 

[Himan]

This is my crazy prediction right now. Not even me liking the songs, but predicting what countries will do live.

Maybe it doesn't even do that well live, but the song is good enough
We know what it is and a lot of people like it.
It's bad right now, though This SF is also not that good. So with a big live revamp. This still can qualify
Juries, juries, juries
Public, public, publc
sure qualifier for me
Not so sure for me, but this style often works for Denmark
Well, she can sing, no doubt. And it's crazy so public will like it too. Easy qualification!
High in the odds so qualifying
Well, This woman is a good singer too, I don't think the revamp was bad, so than it's a really good power balad!