What is your full prediction ranking for tonight?

[Chalphon]

So how do you predict the result for tonight? Here's my predition of the final ranking:

1. Croatia
2. France
3. Lithuania
4. Israel
5. Switzerland
6. Armenia
7. Italy
8. The Netherlands (depending on them not beeing disqualified ofc)
9. Sweden
10. Finland
11. United Kingdom
12. Latvia
13. Slovenia
14. Ukraine
15. Norway
16. Germany
17. Serbia
18. Luxembourg
19. Ireland
20. Georgia
21. Austria
22. Estonia
23. Portugal
24. Greece
25. Cyprus
26. Spain

 

[ati0111]

I have no idea this year but let's try

	OVERALL	TOTAL POINTS	Jury ranking	Jury points	Televote ranking	Televote points
1.	CROATIA	513	3.	198	2.	315
2.	ISRAEL	484	6.	119	1.	365
3.	SWITZERLAND	420	2.	266	6.	154
4.	FRANCE	396	1.	308	9.	88
5.	UKRAINE	383	4.	188	4.	195
6.	IRELAND	278	11.	78	3.	200
7.	ITALY	236	7.	116	7.	120
8.	NETHERLANDS	218	18.	38	5.	180
9.	LITHUANIA	189	8.	98	8.	91
10.	PORTUGAL	167	5.	152	22.	15
11.	SWEDEN	128	9.	98	17.	30
12.	GEORGIA	124	10.	88	15.	36
13.	GREECE	86	19.	36	12.	50
14.	ARMENIA	84	21.	26	11.	58
15.	SERBIA	84	15.	50	16.	34
16.	UK	84	13.	58	19.	26
17.	SLOVENIA	84	12.	68	21.	16
18.	FINLAND	70	26.	0	10.	70
19.	NORWAY	64	22.	24	14.	40
20.	LATVIA	54	16.	46	25.	8
21.	GERMANY	54	14.	54	26.	0
22.	LUXEMBOURG	51	17.	39	23.	12
23.	AUSTRIA	48	23.	20	18.	28
24.	CYPRUS	47	20.	29	20.	18
25.	ESTONIA	45	25.	1	13.	44
26.	SPAIN	17	24.	6	24.	11

 

[Chalphon]

I have no idea this year but let's try

	OVERALL	TOTAL POINTS	Jury ranking	Jury points	Televote ranking	Televote points
1.	CROATIA	513	3.	198	2.	315
2.	ISRAEL	484	6.	119	1.	365
3.	SWITZERLAND	420	2.	266	6.	154
4.	FRANCE	396	1.	308	9.	88
5.	UKRAINE	383	4.	188	4.	195
6.	IRELAND	278	11.	78	3.	200
7.	ITALY	236	7.	116	7.	120
8.	NETHERLANDS	218	18.	38	5.	180
9.	LITHUANIA	189	8.	98	8.	91
10.	PORTUGAL	167	5.	152	22.	15
11.	SWEDEN	128	9.	98	17.	30
12.	GEORGIA	124	10.	88	15.	36
13.	GREECE	86	19.	36	12.	50
14.	ARMENIA	84	21.	26	11.	58
15.	SERBIA	84	15.	50	16.	34
16.	UK	84	13.	58	19.	26
17.	SLOVENIA	84	12.	68	21.	16
18.	FINLAND	70	26.	0	10.	70
19.	NORWAY	64	22.	24	14.	40
20.	LATVIA	54	16.	46	25.	8
21.	GERMANY	54	14.	54	26.	0
22.	LUXEMBOURG	51	17.	39	23.	12
23.	AUSTRIA	48	23.	20	18.	28
24.	CYPRUS	47	20.	29	20.	18
25.	ESTONIA	45	25.	1	13.	44
26.	SPAIN	17	24.	6	24.	11

That is very specific Cool!

 

[GRE]

1. Croatia
2. Israel
3. Switzerland
4. Ukraine
5. France
6. Netherlands
7. Ireland
8. Italy
9. Lithuania
10. Sweden
11. Portugal
12. Greece
13. Armenia
14. Luxembourg
15. Finland
16. Latvia
17. United Kingdom
18. Spain
19. Georgia
20. Cyprus
21. Serbia
22. Austria
23. Germany
24. Estonia
25. Norway
26. Slovenia

 

[Mainshow]

3 full predictions in and no one put last?! - not even bottom 3?!?!

@mauve @GermanBango @ESC94
ESC EMERGECNY!!!! TIME TO CELEBRATE!!!!!

 

[GermanBango]

3 full predictions in and no one put last?! - not even bottom 3?!?!

@mauve @GermanBango @ESC94
ESC EMERGECNY!!!! TIME TO CELEBRATE!!!!!

 

[Mainshow]

Here's mine:

1. Switzerland
2. Croatia
3. Israel
4. Ukraine
5. The Netherlands
6. Italy
7. Sweden
8. France
9. Lithuania
10. Latvia
11. Armenia
12. Ireland
13. Portugal
14. Finland
15. Norway
16. Greece
17. Estonia
18. Serbia
19. United Kingdom
20. Cyprus
21. Austria
22. Slovenia
23. Georgia
24. Germany (I don't want to be the first one to put it inside the Bottom 2 - but it should be#25)
25. Spain
26. Luxembourg

 

[mauve]

24. Germany (I don't want to be the first one to put it inside the Bottom 2 - but it should be#25)

There was a prediction game at ESC Kompakt for tonight - that's exactly the place I put Germany in. But actually have rather the feeling that we will end up last - would feel strange otherwise.

 

[Looren]

Jury :

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.

Tele :

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.

Overall :

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.

 

[Chalphon]

3 full predictions in and no one put last?! - not even bottom 3?!?!

@mauve @GermanBango @ESC94
ESC EMERGECNY!!!! TIME TO CELEBRATE!!!!!

I think Germany is gonna get enough points by the juries alone to prevent that from happening.

 

[Navn Navnes]

My prediction
Juries
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8

10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

Tele
(I hope i am wrong)
2
3
4
5
6
7(Would be higher with later running order)
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16(But with 12 points from Norway)
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

Total
1

3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

My wish
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10(This is my wish, not my prediction)
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25(I am sorry)
DQ or as low as posible

 

[Mainshow]

My new full prediction for tonight:


1. Croatia
2. Ukraine
3. Sweden
4. Lithuania
5. Latvia
6. Armenia
7. Finland
8. Serbia
9. Cyprus
10. Austria
11. Slovenia
12. Georgia
13. Germany
14. Spain
15. Luxembourg

Top 15

 

[GermanBango]

So this is the last prediction of the season. Here we go.

 

[Leydan]

I'm going to take a guess at being last. I think Germany will be last with the televote but will probably get enough jury points to not totally car crash to last.

 

[aef]

A quick prediction with quick and dirty rounded numbers (didn't do a full country voting simulation without anymore):

1 J 140 T 290 = 430
2 J 270 T 150 = 420
3 J 250 T 150 = 400
4 J 90 T 310 = 400
5 J 100 T 185 = 285
6 J 190 T 80 = 270
7 J 200 T 35 = 235
8 J 160 T 55 = 215
9 J 40 T 170 = 210
10 J 60 T 135 = 195
11 J 75 T 90 = 165
12 J 80 T 65 = 145
13 J 15 T 120 =135
14 J 110 T 25 =135
15 J 60 T 55 = 115
16 J 50 T 50 = 100
17 J 80 T 20 = 100
18 J 0 T 85 = 85
19 J 20 T 60 = 80
20 J 40 T 15 = 55
21 J 25 T 20 = 45
22 J 20 T 20 = 40
23 J 20 T 15 = 35
24 J 25 T 0 = 25
25 J 0 T 0 = 0

 

[RainyWoods]

01. 02. 03. 04. 05. 06. 07. 08. 09. 10. 11. 12. 13.
14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. 20. 21. 22. 23. 24. 25.


My guess is that France tops the jury vote and then comes about 4th and 5th in the televote which might be enough. Croatia I think is 2nd or 3rd in the televote depending on if Ireland is ahead of them or not, and I think of them as like 7th or 8th in the jury vote but I can also imagine jurors against Israel in protest pushing the songs they believe can win. I'm actually prepared for if something whacky and nonsensical happens like Croatia winning the jury vote. Israel will win the televote, perhaps by a considerable margin but their jury vote will be low, something maybe around 15th-20th. Georgia as our surprise top 10 of the year (I see it getting both decent public and jury votes) or maybe Spain if the audience polls are anything to go by.

 

[ati0111]

I have no idea this year but let's try

	OVERALL	TOTAL POINTS	Jury ranking	Jury points	Televote ranking	Televote points
1.	CROATIA	513	3.	198	2.	315
2.	ISRAEL	484	6.	119	1.	365
3.	SWITZERLAND	420	2.	266	6.	154
4.	FRANCE	396	1.	308	9.	88
5.	UKRAINE	383	4.	188	4.	195
6.	IRELAND	278	11.	78	3.	200
7.	ITALY	236	7.	116	7.	120
8.	NETHERLANDS	218	18.	38	5.	180
9.	LITHUANIA	189	8.	98	8.	91
10.	PORTUGAL	167	5.	152	22.	15
11.	SWEDEN	128	9.	98	17.	30
12.	GEORGIA	124	10.	88	15.	36
13.	GREECE	86	19.	36	12.	50
14.	ARMENIA	84	21.	26	11.	58
15.	SERBIA	84	15.	50	16.	34
16.	UK	84	13.	58	19.	26
17.	SLOVENIA	84	12.	68	21.	16
18.	FINLAND	70	26.	0	10.	70
19.	NORWAY	64	22.	24	14.	40
20.	LATVIA	54	16.	46	25.	8
21.	GERMANY	54	14.	54	26.	0
22.	LUXEMBOURG	51	17.	39	23.	12
23.	AUSTRIA	48	23.	20	18.	28
24.	CYPRUS	47	20.	29	20.	18
25.	ESTONIA	45	25.	1	13.	44
26.	SPAIN	17	24.	6	24.	11

Hmm i did okay...
I knew the TOP5 but not in correct order
I was right about Ireland, Italy
I also knew juries would love Portugal
No idea why I thought Georgia would that well
I would have never expected Armenia to be liked by juries
Surprised by Luxembourg and Cyprus
Glad that Germany did even better than I expected!

 

[GermanBango]

So this is the last prediction of the season. Here we go.

So let's review this prediction...
1. Croatia -1
2. Switzerland +1
3. Ukraine =
4. Israel -1
5. Italy -3
6. France +3
7. Sweden -2
8. Ireland +2
9. Lithuania -5
10. Greece -1

11. UK -7
12. Armenia +4
13. Georgia -9
14. Serbia -3
15. Finland -4
16. Latvia =
17. Norway -8
18. Estonia -2
19. Germany +7

20. Portugal +10
21. Cyprus +6
22. Slovenia -1
23. Spain +1
24. Austria =
25. Luxembourg +12

 

[GRE]

So let's review this prediction...

5. Italy -3
6. France +3

Italy was 7th and France was 4th