Contact us

Prediction : Semi-finals qualifiers

Looren

Veteran
Joined
August 10, 2020
Posts
9,816
Location
Agadir
Everything is in the title xD

Very open year tbh, many songs can qualify, who do you think will qualify from both semis ?
 

Nicholas123

Well-known member
Joined
February 7, 2013
Posts
8,564
Location
Athens & Kordavian Islands
From semi 1

Safe : :ua::nl::gr::no:
Highly likely : :pt::am::al:
Last places go to : :is::lt::dk:
Bordeline to "nq" : :sl::at::ch::hr:
Bratislava 2023 : :bg::lv:

Will come back soon with my predicitons for the 2nd semi. :mrgreen:
 

kruskica

Active member
Joined
March 27, 2021
Posts
76
Semi 1: 🇺🇦🇳🇴🇱🇻🇲🇩🇳🇱🇬🇷🇸🇮🇦🇱🇱🇹🇮🇸
I think a lot of people are underestimating Latvia and Slovenia. Songs like Latvia are the exact reason why non ESC fans watch Eurovision, they are going to have a great televote score. Also, bold one but I dont see Portugal as a Q. I feel like Portugal, Croatia, Armenia and Iceland are going to overshadow each other, and Iceland is the one with the strongest potential because of bigger target audience. And, if Austria manages to get it together they are in.

Semi 2: 🇸🇪🇵🇱🇦🇺🇪🇪🇷🇸🇧🇪🇸🇲🇬🇪🇨🇾🇫🇮
Tbh unpopular opinion but this semi is weaker than semi 1. I hardly managed to name 10 qualifiers. I feel like a lot of people are sleeping on Georgia and their chances, they will stand out so much in their semi. Cyprus could be a NQ if they mess up the performance. In almost any other semi ever I'd predict Finland as a NQ, but I really don't know who might qualify from that semi if they dont. Maybe Azerbaijan idk.


All in all this is going to be an interesting year with many surprises, since many songs are on the similar level and have their audience.
 

Looren

Veteran
Joined
August 10, 2020
Posts
9,816
Location
Agadir
SF1 Prediction :

Jury :
1. Greece
2. The Netherlands
3. Portugal
4. Ukraine
5. Norway
6. Lithuania
7. Austria
8. Armenia
9. Albania
10. Iceland
11. Switzerland
12. Latvia
13. Bulgaria
14. Moldova
15. Denmark
16. Croatia
17. Slovenia

Televote :

1. Ukraine
2. Greece
3. Austria
4. The Netherlands
5. Norway
6. Latvia
7. Portugal
8. Lithuania
9. Armenia
10. Iceland
11. Albania
12. Moldova
13. Slovenia
14. Bulgaria
15. Croatia
16. Switzerland
17. Denmark

Qualifiers : Greece, Ukraine, The Netherlands, Austria, Norway, Portugal, Lithuania, Latvia, Armenia, Albania

Greece wins semi (and probably ESC)

SF2 Predictions :

Jury :

1. Sweden
2. Poland
3. Estonia
4. Montenegro
5. Australia
6. Finland
7. Azerbaijan
8. Malta
9. Czech Republic
10. Cyprus
11. Belgium
12. Georgia
13. Ireland
14. San Marino
15. Romania
16. North Macedonia
17. Israel
18. Serbia

Televote :

1. Poland
2. Estonia
3. Sweden
4. Finland
5. Cyprus
6. Montenegro
7. Serbia
8. Czech Republic
9. Ireland
10. Georgia
11. Australia
12. Azerbaijan
13. Romania
14. Belgium
15. North Macedonia
16. San Marino
17. Israel
18. Malta

Qualifiers : Poland, Sweden, Estonia, Finland, Australia, Montenegro, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Georgia, Azerbaijan
 

heke1988

Well-known member
Joined
March 4, 2018
Posts
3,598
Location
Finland
My predictions (Alphabetical order):

1. Semifinal:

:al:
:am:
:at:
:gr:
:lt:
:md:
:nl:
:no:
:pt:
:ua:

2. Semifinal

:au:
:be:
:cz:
:cy:
:ee:
:fi:
:me:
:pl:
:rs:
:se:
 

Bobjan FR

Well-known member
Joined
December 11, 2021
Posts
828
Ofc = 100%
Should = 80%
Uncertain = 55%
Will have to fight = 35%
Dead = 0%

SF1 :

Of course : Ukraine, Norway
Should/Might : Netherlands, Austria, Greece, Albania, Armenia
Uncertain : Portugal, Lituania, Moldova,
Will have to fight : Latvia, Iceland, Denmark, Croatia, Slovenia, Switzerland
Dead : Bulgaria

SF2 :

Of course : Sweden , Poland
Should/might : Finland, Czech republic, Cyprus, Serbia, Estonia
Uncertain : Australia, Belgium, Montenegro, Azerbaijan, Israel
Will have to fight : Malta, Georgia, San Marino, Romania, Ireland
Dead : North Macedonia
 

empo21

Veteran
Joined
March 9, 2020
Posts
3,796
Location
Чаршия
SF1:
Albania, Lithuania, Ukraine, Netherlands, Moldova, Austria, Greece, Norway, Armenia

SF2 (this one is so much more fun to predict):
Finland, Serbia, Azerbaijan, Australia, Cyprus, Estonia, Romania, Poland, Sweden

Final spot + upset Qs: Malta, Ireland, Montenegro, Belgium pushing out Estonia/Romania
 

Zonne147

Well-known member
Joined
March 6, 2019
Posts
1,601
I'll give it a try, I feel that semis this year and harder than usual to predict, especially for semifinal 1 xthink


Semifinal 1

Safe: :ua: :no: :nl:
Likely: :al: :gr:
The last ones: :at: :lt: :md: :pt: :am: - I want to put :ch: but I don't know who to put out
I can see it happening: :sl: :hr: :is: :dk: :lv:
No no no: :bg:

Semifinal 2

Safe: :se: :pl:
Likely: :ee: :au: :fi:
The last ones: :rs: :cy: :mt: :ro: :cz:
I can see it happening: :me: :sm: :ge: :il: :ro: :be: :az:
No no no: :ie: :mk:
 

VikingTiger

Well-known member
Joined
February 24, 2010
Posts
3,361
Location
Oslo, Norway
Semi 1:
I could easily put money on these: :ua::no::nl::gr:
...and a little less money on: :al::md:
Good chances for a repeat performance on Saturday: :am::lv:
And the last two boarderline qualifiers: :lt::is:

I think Ukraine, Norway, Albania, Moldova will be pushed into the final by support of the televoters.
While the NL, Greece, Lithuania, Armenia and Iceland will have more jury support.
Actually I think Latvia will get enough support from the two sides.

I continue failing to see (hear) the beauty of the Portuguese song...and I continue not leaving them much chance of a qualification.
 

VikingTiger

Well-known member
Joined
February 24, 2010
Posts
3,361
Location
Oslo, Norway
Semi 2:

For sure: :ee::pl::se:

And quite sure also about: :au::fi::cy:

Getting difficult to predict, but still think: :ro::sm:

And out of the rest I pick: :me::rs:

I find this semi really open.
 

theCONWEL

WorldVision & OM Mod
Staff member
Joined
August 9, 2011
Posts
10,021
Location
Birmingham
Semi 1:
:al: :lt: :ua: :nl: :pt: :dk: :is: :gr: :no: :am:

(maybe :md: :at: instead of :pt: :dk:)

Semi 2:
:fi: :il: :rs: :mt: :au: :cy: :ee: :pl: :se: :cz:

(maybe :sm: :ro: instead of :mt: :cz:, though this semi is so open I’d only really consider :ge: :mk: :be: dead in the water)
 

Sabrewulf238

Well-known member
Joined
October 5, 2009
Posts
3,586
Location
Ireland
Semi Final One (Will update with semi 2 later)

Can't see them not qualifying:
:al: Albania
:ua: Ukraine
:nl: Netherlands
:md: Moldova
:pt: Portugal
:gr: Greece
:no: Norway

Likely qualifiers:
:lt: Lithuania
:am: Armenia

Borderline:
:at: Austria
:dk: Denmark
:lv: Latvia
:sl: Slovenia
:is: Iceland
:ch: Switzerland

Bye bye:
:hr: Croatia
:bg: Bulgaria

To be honest I'm not sure if I agree with this semi being open ended (I guess it is a bit with the borderline countries), I think there's probably one spot that's really up for grabs. I'd say Austria gets the last spot but that will probably depend on how the live performance goes. Any of the other borderline countries could take the spot if they slip up.
 
Last edited:

Himan

Well-known member
Joined
March 16, 2018
Posts
1,881
I haven't seen a lot honestly, so take my prediction of SF1 with a grain of salt.

:ua: :gr: :nl: :pt: :no: :sl: :at: :am: :lt: :al:

Slovenia and Austria on the borderline.
 

Hatari2600

Well-known member
Joined
March 8, 2020
Posts
88
Location
Sweden
So now that we have rehearsal clips... Still super hard to predict. Which shows by all the vastly different takes in this thread!

Guaranteed: :gr: :nl: :no: :ua:
Likely in: :lv: :lt:
Borderline: :al: :am: :at: :is: :pt: :md: :ch:
Likely out: :bg: :hr:
Dead on arrival: :dk: :sl:
Prediction: :gr: :nl: :no: :ua: :lv: :lt: :al: :at: :is: :pt:
 

0scar

Well-known member
Joined
December 26, 2014
Posts
2,124
Location
Utrecht
I'd say for semi 1 (random order)
:ua: :nl: :gr: :lt: :al: :am: :is: :pt: :ch: :no:
NQ :hr: :bg: :dk: :sl: :lv: :at: :md:

I guess the 7-12 spots will be :ch: :at: :lv: :md: :is: :al: so any of those can qualify
 

Sabrewulf238

Well-known member
Joined
October 5, 2009
Posts
3,586
Location
Ireland
Semi Final One

Can't see them not qualifying:
:ua: Ukraine
:no: Norway
:pt: Portugal
:gr: Greece
:nl: Netherlands
:al: Albania

Likely qualifiers:
:lt: Lithuania
:md: Moldova
:am: Armenia

Borderline:
:is: Iceland
:lv: Latvia
:dk: Denmark
:sl: Slovenia
:ch: Switzerland
:at: Austria

Bye bye:
:bg: Bulgaria
:hr: Croatia

Qualifiers: :ua::no::pt::gr::nl::al::lt::md::am:(:is: or :lv:)

Non Qualifiers: :dk::sl::ch::at::bg::hr:


Reordered some things after watching the rehearsals. I'd still be very surprised to see Moldova not qualify, but after watching the rehearsal, I don't feel 100% confident about them now. I think I'm also becoming more convinced that Austria might flop.

I think based on the rehearsals, I'd give the last borderline slot to either Iceland or Latvia, both of them had strong rehearsals I think. Bulgaria was pretty strong too but I don't think there's any saving them, I think they're likely to avoid last place though. I feel like Croatia might be last place.
 

Looren

Veteran
Joined
August 10, 2020
Posts
9,816
Location
Agadir
Based on rehearsals !

SF1 :

Jury :

1. :gr:
2. :nl:
3. :pt:
4. :ua:
5. :no:
6. :am:
7. :ch:
8. :al:
9. :lt:
10. :is:
11. :bg:
12. :at:
13. :md:
14. :dk:
15. :hr:
16. :lv:
17. :sl:

Televote :

1. :ua:
2. :gr:
3. :no:
4. :al:
5. :nl:
6. :pt:
7. :lt:
8. :md:
9. :am:
10. :at:
11. :is:
12. :lv:
13. :bg:
14. :ch:
15. :hr:
16. :dk:
17. :sl:

Qualifiers : :gr: :ua: :nl: :no: :pt: :al: :lt: :am: :is: :md:

I think :at: finishes 11th and I hope am wrong
 

Brandt

Well-known member
Joined
December 27, 2014
Posts
3,203
Some of y'all place Serbia really low but it is among the favorites
 

Sabrewulf238

Well-known member
Joined
October 5, 2009
Posts
3,586
Location
Ireland
Decided to do the placements for the semis as well.

Semi Final One:
  1. :ua: Ukraine
  2. :gr: Greece
  3. :no: Norway
  4. :nl: Netherlands
  5. :pt: Portugal
  6. :al: Albania
  7. :am: Armenia
  8. :lt: Lithuania
  9. :md: Moldova
  10. :is: Iceland
  11. :lv: Latvia
  12. :sl: Slovenia
  13. :ch: Switzerland
  14. :dk: Denmark
  15. :at: Austria
  16. :bg: Bulgaria
  17. :hr: Croatia
Sem Final Two:
  1. :se: Sweden
  2. :pl: Poland
  3. :au: Australia
  4. :ee: Estonia
  5. :cy: Cyprus
  6. :rs: Serbia
  7. :cz: Czech Republic
  8. :az: Azerbaijan
  9. :sm: San Marino
  10. :fi: Finland
  11. :ie: Ireland
  12. :be: Belgium
  13. :il: Israel
  14. :ro: Romania
  15. :me: Montenegro
  16. :ge: Georgia
  17. :mk: North Macedonia
  18. :mt: Malta
I feel like the first semi seems a lot easier to predict, whereas the outcome of semi final 2 feels more mysterious to me.

I think Serbia is a very likely qualifier, although that doesn't mean I think it will place high. I could see it being very marmite, not enough for it to not qualify though.

I think Brooke has given Ireland it's best chance based off the rehearsal but right now I'm not sure how to feel about our chances. I'm getting this feeling we could end up getting somewhere in 11th-13th place.
 
Top Bottom