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Prediction : Semi-finals qualifiers

Looren

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August 10, 2020
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Agadir
Everything is in the title xD

Very open year tbh, many songs can qualify, who do you think will qualify from both semis ?
 

GermanBango

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April 13, 2012
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Hannover
As promised my prediction... Trigger warning for our Austrian members with rabies. :lol:

S2Result.jpg


 

akoz

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March 10, 2020
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Lviv, Ukraine
My prediction for tonight - :se: :pl: :rs: :cz: :fi: :be: :ee: :au: :cy: :az:

Wild semifinal. In my eyes, Sweden is a clear favourite in this semi, Poland and Serbia - sure qualifiers, then 6 countries that most likely will go to the final and epic fight for last 10th spot - I put Azerbaijan just because of most likely jury support for him.
 

Zeus

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March 16, 2020
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802
100% safe by both:
:se::pl:

Juries will save:
:au::az:

Televote will save:
:cz::rs::sm:

A bit of both:
:ee::fi:

I struggle with the 10th qualifier. Montenegro, Belgium or Israel could be saved by the juries. Romania, Cyprus or Ireland with the televotes.

Big gamble, but I will say :ro: will get just enough televotes to qualify.
 

Sabrewulf238

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October 5, 2009
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Ireland
My current prediction for semi final 2: (I haven't seen the full performances, just the rehearsal clips)

01. :se: Sweden
02. :pl: Poland
03. :au: Australia
04. :ee: Estonia
05. :rs: Serbia
06. :cz: Czech Republic
07. :az: Azerbaijan
08. :cy: Cyprus
09. :ie: Ireland
10. :ro: Romania

11. :fi: Finland
12. :sm: San Marino
13. :mt: Malta
14. :il: Israel
15. :be: Belgium
16. :mk: North Macedonia
17. :me: Montenegro
18. :ge: Georgia

I don't think the juries are going to eat up Malta the way some might think, but I could still imagine us looking at the jury score for Malta after the contest and raising an eyebrow at how highly it ranked with them. I still don't think it'll be enough for them to qualify though.

I hope I'm wrong, but I have a feeling the jury is going to kill San Marino, it'll probably do pretty well with the public vote but I could see it not being quite enough to offset a poor jury score.

I feel like my predictions for 7th to 12th place are constantly changing, I could see it going so many different ways.
 

Realest

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Joined
May 23, 2017
Posts
6,216
Location
Germany
In the right Order:

:se::pl::rs::ee::fi::au::cz::sm::az::cy: // :mt::ro::il::be::me::ie::ge::mk:
 

Synergise

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May 4, 2011
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1,576
Location
United Kingdom
Final predictions before Semi 2:

This semi is a bloodbath and I have no idea how to call this. I ran it through my simulator and got this, with Estonia pulling a Croatia 2021 and missing out despite qualifying independently on the jury and televote.

Combined ScoreJury ScoreTelevote Score
1. Sweden (377)Sweden (188)Sweden (189)
2. Czech Republic (233)Australia (153)San Marino (156)
3. Poland (200)Czech Republic (103)Czech Republic (130)
4. Australia (196)Poland (95)Poland (105)
5. San Marino (158)Israel (93)Romania (102)
6. Israel (137)Azerbaijan (86)Serbia (94)
7. Serbia (135)Belgium (65)Ireland (70)
8. Ireland (132)Malta (64)Finland (46)
9. Romania (126)Estonia (64)Estonia (45)
10. Azerbaijan (124)Ireland (62)Israel (44)
11. Estonia (109)Finland (44)Australia (43)
12. Belgium (106)Cyprus (44)Georgia (42)
13. Finland (90)Montenegro (43)Belgium (41)
14. Cyprus (75)Serbia (41)Azerbaijan (38)
15. Malta (71)Georgia (25)Cyprus (31)
16. Georgia (67)Romania (24)Montenegro (19)
17. Montenegro (62)North Macedonia (19)North Macedonia (16)
18. North Macedonia (35)San Marino (2)Malta (7)
 

Courtzer

Member
Joined
January 19, 2019
Posts
226
My Prediction (Jury + Televote)

01 :cz: Czech Republic (134 + 166 =) 300
02 :se: Sweden (162 + 131 =) 293
03 :pl: Poland (111 + 142 =) 253
04 :az: Azerbaijan (132 + 105 =) 237
05 :au: Australia (141 + 60 =) 201
06 :ee: Estonia (80 + 80 =) 160
07 :fi: Finland (57 + 102 =) 159
08 :cy: Cyprus (78 + 61 =) 139
09 :rs: Serbia (54 + 76 =) 130
10 :ro: Romania (27 + 94 =) 121
11 :sm: San Marino (12 + 81 =) 93
12 :ie: Ireland (51 + 40 =) 91
13 :il: Israel (49 + 31 =) 80
14 :me: Montenegro (38 + 20 =) 58
15 :mt: Malta (42 + 0 =) 42
16 :be: Belgium (41 + 0 =) 41
17 :mk: North Macedonia (5 + 18 =) 23
18 :ge: Georgia (4 + 11 =) 15
 

martin

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Joined
October 1, 2009
Posts
1,616
My picks
99% sure

:se: Both jury and Televoting will have this in top 3

90% sure. Huge surprice if any of this not QF
:pl: Jury will like it and televoting will also have this high
:ee: He will stand out after Macedonia and score good in Jury and televoting
:au: Jury and Televoting will also have this top 10. Could see him top 3 in jury
:rs: 48 points from Macedonia and Montenegro i think. Also scoring well in South/East Europe

75% sure
:cz: Should QF, but unlike the other 5. I could see this get some problem if Televoting not vote it after Sweden

60% sure
:fi: I think Finland will made it, but some problems could happen because of Strong entry from Sweden, Estonia and Poland. Also San Marino could take points from them

55% Sure
:be: Think the Jury will save them, but not with much
:mt: Same like Belgium. Also it will get some televoting from people who like that type of popsongs

51% sure
:az: Jury and Azerbaijan do have a good history.

After my top 10. Here is the rest

49% Sure
:sm: Could qualifly because of televote and will fight with Finland on rock votes
:cy: 50/50 but bad jury show could coast them final

40% sure
:il: He will get some gay votes and people who like that kind of songs, but in the end i think Australia, San Marino and Romania will take some votes from him. Don,t see the jury save him
:ro: Same like Israel

30% sure
:ge: Could be a shock qualifly, but their biggest problem is that you have many songs in this semifinal

20% sure
:me: Need a very good jury score and i don,t think that will happen. Also bad history
:ie: The other west country have stronger entry and Ireland have a bad history

15% sure
:mk: Bad history/ last place in the odds and not mant friends. Will be huge surprice if she made it
 

RainyWoods

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February 9, 2012
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London
:fi: :il: :sm: :cy: :ee: :pl: :me: :se: :cz: :az:

We had Albania and Austria as our surprise misses from Semi 1. Tonight I'll be bold and say the surprise misses will be Australia (public support won't be there at all) and sadly Serbia which will confuse casual viewers a la Conan Osiris. I hope I'm wrong about Serbia but the feeling has always been there since it was selected so I'll stick with it. Montenegro and Israel I think will surprise. If Israel can make it last year with a talented performer paired with a mediocre song then they can do it again. If not then Romania goes in their place. I think one of the bop gentlemen will make it.
 

Jim

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March 27, 2010
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Greece
Only a prediction and I guess a shocking non qualifier from the fan favorites as always...

QUALIFIERS (In random order):

Portugal, The Netherlands, Switzerland, Ukraine, Latvia, Norway, Albania, Slovenia, Croatia, Greece
6/10
 

Jim

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March 27, 2010
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Greece
Before the live show, my guess for the qualifiers in random order, is:

Poland, Azerbaijan, Finland, Cyprus, Sweden, San Marino, Belgium, Australia, Romania & Czech Republic. So, I think that Serbia won't qualify.
 

Bobjan FR

Active member
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December 11, 2021
Posts
317
Hum hum, it was already hard Thursday, it's even worse tonight.
I'll say Sweden, Czech Republic , Poland, Australia, Estonia,

....

Oh, I have no idea lol. I will say Serbia, Belgium, Cyprus, Azerbaijan and Finland as well

No, not Finland. .... Hum, I don't know who put instead :3 omania ?

... Gosh, there is suspense
 

RainyWoods

Croak-kay
Joined
February 9, 2012
Posts
23,711
Location
London
:fi: :il: :sm: :cy: :ee: :pl: :me: :se: :cz: :az:

We had Albania and Austria as our surprise misses from Semi 1. Tonight I'll be bold and say the surprise misses will be Australia (public support won't be there at all) and sadly Serbia which will confuse casual viewers a la Conan Osiris. I hope I'm wrong about Serbia but the feeling has always been there since it was selected so I'll stick with it. Montenegro and Israel I think will surprise. If Israel can make it last year with a talented performer paired with a mediocre song then they can do it again. If not then Romania goes in their place. I think one of the bop gentlemen will make it.

I’m swapping :cy: :az: with :ro: :au:

That’s my final answer.. let’s see.
 

Jim

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March 27, 2010
Posts
7,194
Location
Greece
Before the live show, my guess for the qualifiers in random order, is:

Poland, Azerbaijan, Finland, Cyprus, Sweden, San Marino, Belgium, Australia, Romania & Czech Republic. So, I think that Serbia won't qualify.
8/10!
 

martin

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Joined
October 1, 2009
Posts
1,616
9/10 and miss on Malta who was a borderline. Not surprice Romania get the last ticket. He was good in the semifinal
 
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