Before the show
Ukraine, Greece, Norway is 99% sure
The Netherlands, Armenia and Portugal is also very sure. If one of them flop it would be a huge shock in the odds 90% sure
The last 4
Albania 70% sure. Should get a lot of voters from Swi, Aut, Cro, Slo, Gre, Bul and ARM. Also could score points Por, Ukr, Ita, Fra and Mol
Moldova 70% sure. Will score good points from East Europa and South Europa/Balkan in televoting.
The last two
Latvia 55% sure. Probably score many points from televoting and that could be enough. Also some jurypoints from Moldova, Lithuania, Ukraine and perhaps some points from some other country
Switzerland 51% sure. I think this will be the jurysong to qualifly. Not many points from televoting. But still close in
NQ:
Lithuania 49% sure. Will score ok from the jury and big points from Norway and Lithuania. Still think Switzerland will take the last place because of jury
Austria 48% sure. 50/50 song. But bad vocal could give them to a bad jury score. Still would not be shocked if they get to final
Iceland 40% sure. I think the jury will choise Switzerland over this and i don,t see both qualifly. Also don,t see this get more than 7-10 points from Norway and Denmark. And not many outside Nordic country. So jury need to have this with a good score
Croatia 38% sure. Jury will tank this i,m afraid and Televoting will have it around 10-12. Has a chance but i think Greece and Albania will take some televoting away from this
Denmark 20% sure. Don,t see Televoting or jury voting for it (sorry Denmark)
Slovenia 20% sure. Same like Denmark
Bulgaria 20% sure. Same like Denmark