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Prediction : Semi-finals qualifiers

Looren

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Everything is in the title xD

Very open year tbh, many songs can qualify, who do you think will qualify from both semis ?
 

Bobjan FR

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December 11, 2021
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I think i will post a prediction after the recap of the SFs :3
 

LoveHate

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February 2, 2013
Posts
815
Location
Helsinki
Semi 1
Ukraine
Norway
Greece
Netherlands
Portugal
Moldova
Albania
Austria
Armenia
For the last spot heart says Lithuania, mind says Latvia.

Semi 2
Sweden
Poland
Australia
Serbia
Estonia
Cyprus
Czechia
Belgium
Israel
For the last spot heart says Romania, mind says Finland.
 

Ajeje Brazorf

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October 6, 2021
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Semi 1 (from first to tenth):
Greece
Ukraine
Norway
Portugal
The Netherlands
Lithuania
Moldova
Armenia
Latvia
Denmark

Semi 2 (from first to tenth):
Sweden
Czech Republic
Poland
Serbia
Australia
Cyprus
Azerbaijan
San Marino
Finland
Israel

Borderline Nq's: Albania and Estonia respectively. I have this feeling.
 
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akoz

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March 10, 2020
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Lviv, Ukraine
My prediction for today:
  • The Netherlands
  • Ukraine
  • Greece
  • Norway
  • Lithuania
  • Albania
  • Armenia
  • Portugal
  • Austria
  • Iceland
 

theCONWEL

WorldVision & OM Mod
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Birmingham
Final prediction for tonight:

:al: :lv: :ua: :md: :nl: :pt: :at: :gr: :no: :am:
 
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Mainshow

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Wow - I can´t believe that I´m almost the only one predicting :is: to qualify after the 2nd rehearsal clips.
I will keep my fingers crossed for them. Honestly, I think that their song totally comes alive on stage.
They are not my favourite song tonight but honestly, I will I will be even sadder if they don´t qualify (than Albania or the Netherlands which are part of my Top 10).
 

Looren

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Wow - I can´t believe that I´m almost the only one predicting :is: to qualify after the 2nd rehearsal clips.
I will keep my fingers crossed for them. Honestly, I think that their song totally comes alive on stage.
They are not my favourite song tonight but honestly, I will I will be even sadder if they don´t qualify (than Albania or the Netherlands which are part of my Top 10).

I think they'll make it
 

HayashiM

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January 26, 2019
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Prague, Czech Republic
My 1st semi prediction is almost the same one as the odds have, I just swapped :lt: for :lv: : :ua: :gr: :no: :nl: :md: :pt: :am: :al: :lt: :at:

Sailing through with no doubt: :ua: :gr: :no: :nl:
Most probably Q: :md: :pt: (both benefit greatly from the running order)
Borderline Q: :am: (their current odds are way too good though) :al: :lt: :at:
Borderline NQ: :lv: :ch:
Most probably NQ: :bg: :hr: (would put her higher if not for the running order directly after :pt:) :is:
Almost chanceless: :dk: :sl:
 

martin

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October 1, 2009
Posts
1,690
Before the show

Ukraine, Greece, Norway is 99% sure
The Netherlands, Armenia and Portugal is also very sure. If one of them flop it would be a huge shock in the odds 90% sure

The last 4
Albania 70% sure. Should get a lot of voters from Swi, Aut, Cro, Slo, Gre, Bul and ARM. Also could score points Por, Ukr, Ita, Fra and Mol
Moldova 70% sure. Will score good points from East Europa and South Europa/Balkan in televoting.

The last two
Latvia 55% sure. Probably score many points from televoting and that could be enough. Also some jurypoints from Moldova, Lithuania, Ukraine and perhaps some points from some other country

Switzerland 51% sure. I think this will be the jurysong to qualifly. Not many points from televoting. But still close in

NQ:
Lithuania 49% sure. Will score ok from the jury and big points from Norway and Lithuania. Still think Switzerland will take the last place because of jury

Austria 48% sure. 50/50 song. But bad vocal could give them to a bad jury score. Still would not be shocked if they get to final

Iceland 40% sure. I think the jury will choise Switzerland over this and i don,t see both qualifly. Also don,t see this get more than 7-10 points from Norway and Denmark. And not many outside Nordic country. So jury need to have this with a good score

Croatia 38% sure. Jury will tank this i,m afraid and Televoting will have it around 10-12. Has a chance but i think Greece and Albania will take some televoting away from this

Denmark 20% sure. Don,t see Televoting or jury voting for it (sorry Denmark)

Slovenia 20% sure. Same like Denmark

Bulgaria 20% sure. Same like Denmark
 

Zeus

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March 16, 2020
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1,573
Safe with the juries:
:gr: :pt: :nl: :lt:

Safe with televotes:
:ua: :no: :md: :at:

A bit of both:
:lv: :am:

Albania (televotes) or Switzerland and Iceland (juryvotes) could sneak in.
 

Synergise

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Location
United Kingdom
Final predictions before Semi 1:

Combined ScoreJury ScoreTelevote Score
1. Ukraine (307)Netherlands (140)Ukraine (190)
2. Greece (267)Greece (139)Norway (175)
3. Netherlands (249)Portugal (130)Greece (128)
4. Norway (241)Ukraine (117)Netherlands (109)
5. Portugal (182)Switzerland (88)Latvia (84)
6. Latvia (162)Armenia (82)Albania (68)
7. Armenia (124)Latvia (78)Moldova (52)
8. Switzerland (116)Norway (66)Portugal (52)
9. Albania (90)Lithuania (64)Denmark (48)
10. Lithuania (90)Iceland (61)Armenia (42)
11. Denmark (88)Denmark (40)Austria (35)
12. Iceland (84)Austria (23)Switzerland (28)
13. Moldova (69)Albania (22)Lithuania (26)
14. Austria (58)Moldova (17)Iceland (23)
15. Croatia (30)Croatia (14)Croatia (16)
16. Bulgaria (25)Bulgaria (12)Bulgaria (13)
17. Slovenia (22)Slovenia (9)Slovenia (13)
 

RainyWoods

Croak-kay
Joined
February 9, 2012
Posts
25,202
Location
London
Semi 1

:ua: :no: :gr: :lv: :pt: :nl: :lt: :al: :is: :bg:

Yes, I refuse to believe still that anyone is going to pick up their phone for Armenia's sofa ad music. And we need a fan triggering moment so I picked Bulgaria who have really nice staging and have given us solid rehearsals. I've noticed as well that it finally seems people have caught on to that Moldova qualifying when fans don't like their song thingy. I considered adding them too but this year just feels so lacking compared to when they usually do this sort of fun stuff.
 

Brandt

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December 27, 2014
Posts
3,203
Online reactions and views are nothing to be taken into account in terms of predicting the scores for many reasons;

- most voters are only-tv audience who are not following the contest like we crazy fans do. otherwise we'd get millions of views for each rehearsal, for example.
- people have the tendency to watch/support/like their own countries, for which they cannot vote. so it doesn't mean much in that way.
- jury is just as powerful as the televote, so anything you see there might have been just exactly upside down and change things like crazy in the end. (like norway 2019, poland 2016, and many others)
 

Jim

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March 27, 2010
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7,198
Location
Greece
Only a prediction and I guess a shocking non qualifier from the fan favorites as always...

QUALIFIERS (In random order):

Portugal, The Netherlands, Switzerland, Ukraine, Latvia, Norway, Albania, Slovenia, Croatia, Greece
 
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