1st. Bulgaria - Obviously my personal favourite, but bias aside, I just feel like this has everything going for it. The Juries should love him. He's got the cute factor, and the song has enough Western appeal to pick up 8s and 10s in Central and Western Europe. If it can pick up the Eastern votes as well (aided by Russia not entering)... I can just see it winning. It ticks all the boxes. Televotes, Juries, Eastern appeal, Western appeal, good looks, awesome staging... Armenia and Azerbaijan potentially could get in his way out East which could gift the win to Portugal.
2nd. Portugal - Will win with the Juries, and I'm surprised at how well its charting and the views online - so as long as that can translate over Europe, it should be top two. My fear is that the East don't really get it, and the 12s in Western Europe start going to Italy. It'll be so close between Portugal and Bulgaria.
3rd. Italy - Unless he absolutely slays the televoters (which is possible, given how Eurovision fans reacted to it the first time we heard it), I think its unlikely he wins. I predict 4th or 5th with the Juries and 2nd with the televote.
4th: Belgium - Will slay the televote in Western Europe at least. Juries should be *okay* with it, but will mark it down a bit.
5th: Romania - Televoters will love it, but I think predictions the Juries will hate it are wrong. I doubt many Jurors will be giving it top 5, but defo should be in top 10. Awesome staging and nothing wrong with the vocals.
6th: Azerbaijan - The dark horse (literally) and could ruin Kristian's night if it starts picking up 12's out East. The Juries will love the staging and her vocals on rehearsal were meant to be on point.
7th. Sweden - Still shouldn't be underestimated and has the potential to shock. I feel like its good the first few listens. Will do well in the televote, and wouldn't surprise me if the Juries like it as well.
8th. Armenia - Will do well with both the Juries and Televoters. Will pick up a lot of Eastern support.
9th. Croatia - Clearly some people love it. Might have done well with the Juries if they respect how difficult it is to sing like that.
10th. Moldova - Probably didn't do as well with the Juries as it will the public vote, but is catchy and will stick in people's heads.
11th. Poland - Juries will have prefered Poland this year, and I still expect it to rise in the televotes. Could get top 8 if the Juries are really there for it.
12th. United Kingdom - The Juries better have put UK in the top 8 or top 5 as it defo deserves it. I've just got this feeling it could bomb on the public vote though. I really hope not. There is no way this should be finishing below 10th on credibility.
13th. Norway - Best position in the running order, nice enough song that should do well with some televoters.
14th. Israel - I think it will benefit from going first because it is quite an explosive start. Will stick in people's heads.
15th. Netherlands - Should do better with the Juries, but is pretty forgettable.
16th. Greece
17th: Ukraine
18th: Denmark
19th. Belarus
20th. Hungary
21st. France
22nd. Austria
23rd. Cyprus
24th. Australia
25th. Spain
26th: Germany