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How good are you at ESC predictions ?

LastDreamer

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I'm not good in them, especially if exclude two obvious winners from 2014 and 2016.

Which songs should have win if my predictions became true ?
2012 - 🇱🇻 Anmary - Beautiful Song
2013 - 🇳🇴 Margaret Berger - I Feed You My Love
2014 - 🇦🇹 Conchita Wurst - Rise Like A Phoenix
2015 - 🇳🇴 Morland and Debrah Scarlett - A Monster Like Me
2016 - 🇺🇦 Jamala - 1944
2017 - 🇷🇴 Ilinca and Alex Florea - Yodel It!
2018 - 🇧🇾 Alekseev - Forever
2019 - 🇫🇷 Bilal Hassani - Roi
2020 - 🇲🇹 Destiny
 

Citelis

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For the winner my predictions were (if i remember correctly)
2011 :se: failed
2012 :se: correct
2013 :az: failed
2014 :se: failed
2015 :se: correct
2016 :se: failed
2017 :pt: correct
2018 :se: or :no: failed
2019 :az: or :nl: mixed
 

LastDreamer

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For the winner my predictions were (if i remember correctly)
2017 :pt: correct
(y)
For me it was the most unpredictable winner.
 

LastDreamer

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If don't count the winners that my most failed prediction is top 3 result for "Marry Me".
 

Citelis

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In 2017 i was one of the few people that never believed that Italy could win. However that was sone of the few succesful predictions i did. Usually my predictions are a total fail: in 2016 for example i was sure that jamala will be outside top10.
 
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Citelis

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I succesful prediction by me saying (in March) that France was nowhere near the win in 2018. However if you see some posts later i predict that the win was bewteen Sweden, Norway and Bulgaria! :lol:
 

hijirio

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2013 correct
2014 I would have nevvver thought Conchita would win, until I heard the crowd going crazy after her performance in the final.
2015 correct
2016 I knew the first time I heard 1944 that she would win. I gotta admit tho that I wouldn't be surprised if Russia won.
2017 I thought Italy would win. I thought Salvador was a fan flop and would not even be able to qualify.
2018 correct, tho Cyprus would not be a surprise either.
2019 correct

More or less, it's always between 2-3 countries and there's never a big shock, maybe :nl: would be the only shocking winner of the decade had they won in 2014
 

Zonne147

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Some of them I have posted here, but Most of them were just made in my head.

I'm going to do this just for 2018 and 2019, since these were the years I have followed enough to try to predict

Correct

2018

- I predicted :cy: was going to do top 5 after it was released
- I asked myself why :at: was so underrated and thought they would do much better - same with :de:, I have always thought it was a very professional song but I haver never loved the song as much as others

2019
- After :no: has performed, I remember it was the only moment I went to forum during the Grand Final and I have posted sth like: mark my words: :no: will do very well
- :be: never thought they would qualify

Wrong
(most of those probably came more from my heart than from my head)

2018

- :ge: was going to qualify
- :il: wasn't going to win
- :by: and :az: were qualifying in that bloodbath semifinal

2019
- :al: would be finishing top 10 :cry:
- :ge: would qualify after an amazing live performance
- :ru: wasn't going to finish top 5
 
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BorisBubbles

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I'm rubbish at winners, please observe my horrible record from 2012 onwards:

2012: Loreen (and you would have to have been deaf, dumb and blind (or all three) to get that one wrong)
2013: Emmelie (this too was a very obvious one)
2014: Sanna (and it TERRIFIED me)
2015: Stigelina (I pretended that I thought Måns would win just so I wouldn't curse Estoniangels by accident 😭 )
2016: Greta (legit. The NQ completely caught me by surprise)
2017: Gabbani
2018: Madame Monsieur
2019: Iceland (Duncan is way too obvious to possibly win -- me, every year)

I eventually get them right once I see the lives, but that's not quite the same. The only one I still didn't pick until they actually won was Jamala - I always had her on my list as a possible winner but never *at* the top of that list.

Qualifiers though? I'm pretty good at them. I usually get 8 right on average.
 

EscUKFan

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2014 :uk: xcrazy
2015 :es: xcrazy
2016 :fr: (Pre-contest) then :au: (although I briefly predicted :ua: a week or so before the final)
2017 :it: then :pt: following rehearsals
2018 :fr: then :cy: following rehearsals
2019 :nl:
And just for fun... 2020 :it: (Providing Diodato sticks with Fai Rumore)

So 2/6 or just 1 if you want to be harsh, safe to say I daren‘t get involved with betting.
 
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lavieenrose

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TERRIBLE. But at least usually in ways that leave me pleasantly surprised. Some of my greatest hits:
-I wasn't sure who would win in 2018, but I was fairly confident that it would not be Israel.
-I had to look away from results in 2017 because I was CERTAIN that Bulgaria would beat Portugal in the televote.
-I thought there was no way Ukraine would make up the gap vs. Australia in the televote.
-I thought the UK would win in 2014 until she performed.
I also thought JOWST would seriously struggle.
Of course, it doesn't always stop me from being disappointed. I was very confident in Conan's chances last year pretty much until he NQed, and in PKN's a few years ago. I also at various points in 2015 thought Belgium and Spain would win. Also that ZibbZ and Gianna Terzi would contend for the win. Also, I lost @Gabe a bet b/c I said "Prague 2017 will happen."

Sometimes my predictions are just really *weird* looking back and not necessarily attributable to either expectations management or wish fulfillment. Latvia and Croatia qualifying last year? How in god's honest fuck was that ever going to happen?

I do have some feathers in my cap, though: a higher-than-expected finish for Lucie Jones, left side for Aliona Moon, qualification for Bojana Stamenov...
 

LastDreamer

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MF 2020 :
Somebody from this trio will win : Mamas, Mohombi, Robin
 

Gera11

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Pretty average lmao. My predictions:
2009 🇳🇴 Norway - Alexander Rybak - Fairytale ✅
2010 🇷🇴 Romania - Paula & Ovi - Playing with fire ❌
2011 🇸🇪 Sweden - Eric Saade - Popular ❌
2012 🇸🇪 Sweden - Loreen - Euphoria ✅
2013 🇩🇰 Denmark - Emmelie de Forest - Only Teardrops ✅
2014 🇬🇧 United Kingdom - Molly - Children of the Universe ❌
2015 🇸🇪 Sweden - Måns Zelmerlöw - Heroes ✅
2016 🇺🇦 Ukraine - Jamala - 1944 ✅
2017 🇧🇬 Bulgaria - Kristian Kostov - Beautiful Mess ❌
2018 🇨🇾 Cyprus - Eleni Foureira - Fuego ❌
2019 🇳🇱 Netherlands - Duncan Laurence - Arcade ✅
 
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