popavapeur
Well-known member
Couldn't find a proper thread about it, delete it if it does exist and i'm just blind af
So I was wondering with 38 songs out of 40 which countries had some potential to be the winner, top 5 or top 10, so here's my list.
BTW I'm so bad at predicting stuff so don't mind me. Big ass long post incoming.
The winner is amongst these countries and will be the top 5 :
- Italy : I don't think Italy is gonna win but they have a great song that will do well, to me they lean on 4th-5th place
- France : I was the first to say that there was nothing winning in the NF but with the lack of a clear winner this year, being one of the few uptempo/out there song, comparing to Shum that was 2nd in the televote - both entries having similar patterns - I think this can reach top 5 or even winning. Past winners to me have that thing in common with not being the most on fleek performance but kinda messy/not perfect/authentic/true to themselves (Toy included) that led countries like Sweden to flop with their pitch perfect staging in recent years or a Fuego too polished that people liked a little bit more the cookiness of a Netta. And Fulenn is kinda messy and I do think that's why it can win. And Deban said an interesting thing : it's not a song it's a performance and I totally agree, and that's why in the ESC fandom we're sometimes angry about some entries winning over others because it was a more a performance than a proper song we can listen to outside the contest or ending very high despite not being radio friendly. Can be 1st to 5th.
- The Netherlands : Reminds me of a Blanche that ended up 4th but S10 will carry herself far better than Belgium 2017, it's one of the best songs and it can reach a lot of people I guess. If not winning I think it's probably a 3rd place.
- Ukraine : The song isn't bad at all, Ukraine can stage anything (if they can this year) and I feel like people all over Europe are worried about what's happening right now and will probably want to send a message. It's maybe the biggest contender for victory even if I don't think it's the best song
- Sweden : Huge contender for the win too, it doesn't seem too perfect while having a solid song and as stated for France, people in recent years have been connecting to more raw stuff recently and Cornelia has the charisma to channel that. If not winning I think Sweden will be 2nd.
Top 10 :
Spain : Will 100% stand out this year but I don't think that's what people want to see winning (again if we look at the past winners) it's gonna be too polished and I don't think the song itself is a standout, Chanel is totally a standout though. It's a solid 6th place or even 5th place over Italy. It can also surprises us and end up higher but I don't get winner vibes. Some female pop entries last year that were better ended up not that high, there was competition which is not present this year but if they didn't win last year, I don't think it will too this year.
Portugal : it's a dark horse and I couldn't explain really why it will be top 10, I just feel it. Girl has huge charisma and again : the rawness, vulnerability, not so perfect staging that is trending these past years.
Norway : a 9th-10th place to me, like it's cool, it's fun, it's not winning but hey let's vote for it anyway. Don't think juries will buy it though.
Moldova : This is so stupidly serious and infectious and funny, it's like the Medina from the east, people like this kind of song that it's just 100% true to Moldova, while being authentic, people will connect with it, some juries will tank this entry and some others will push it, letting them reach top 10, I think it's a top 5 televote lock.
I miss one song to fill my top 10 but there are so many entries that can fit the spot 6th to 10th, I think for example, maybe or or even
btw this can TOTALLY CHANGE once we'll see the first rehearsals, some entries will destroy their chances with a weird staging while some others will turn dirt into gold.
What are your predictions ?
So I was wondering with 38 songs out of 40 which countries had some potential to be the winner, top 5 or top 10, so here's my list.
BTW I'm so bad at predicting stuff so don't mind me. Big ass long post incoming.
The winner is amongst these countries and will be the top 5 :
- Italy : I don't think Italy is gonna win but they have a great song that will do well, to me they lean on 4th-5th place
- France : I was the first to say that there was nothing winning in the NF but with the lack of a clear winner this year, being one of the few uptempo/out there song, comparing to Shum that was 2nd in the televote - both entries having similar patterns - I think this can reach top 5 or even winning. Past winners to me have that thing in common with not being the most on fleek performance but kinda messy/not perfect/authentic/true to themselves (Toy included) that led countries like Sweden to flop with their pitch perfect staging in recent years or a Fuego too polished that people liked a little bit more the cookiness of a Netta. And Fulenn is kinda messy and I do think that's why it can win. And Deban said an interesting thing : it's not a song it's a performance and I totally agree, and that's why in the ESC fandom we're sometimes angry about some entries winning over others because it was a more a performance than a proper song we can listen to outside the contest or ending very high despite not being radio friendly. Can be 1st to 5th.
- The Netherlands : Reminds me of a Blanche that ended up 4th but S10 will carry herself far better than Belgium 2017, it's one of the best songs and it can reach a lot of people I guess. If not winning I think it's probably a 3rd place.
- Ukraine : The song isn't bad at all, Ukraine can stage anything (if they can this year) and I feel like people all over Europe are worried about what's happening right now and will probably want to send a message. It's maybe the biggest contender for victory even if I don't think it's the best song
- Sweden : Huge contender for the win too, it doesn't seem too perfect while having a solid song and as stated for France, people in recent years have been connecting to more raw stuff recently and Cornelia has the charisma to channel that. If not winning I think Sweden will be 2nd.
Top 10 :
Spain : Will 100% stand out this year but I don't think that's what people want to see winning (again if we look at the past winners) it's gonna be too polished and I don't think the song itself is a standout, Chanel is totally a standout though. It's a solid 6th place or even 5th place over Italy. It can also surprises us and end up higher but I don't get winner vibes. Some female pop entries last year that were better ended up not that high, there was competition which is not present this year but if they didn't win last year, I don't think it will too this year.
Portugal : it's a dark horse and I couldn't explain really why it will be top 10, I just feel it. Girl has huge charisma and again : the rawness, vulnerability, not so perfect staging that is trending these past years.
Norway : a 9th-10th place to me, like it's cool, it's fun, it's not winning but hey let's vote for it anyway. Don't think juries will buy it though.
Moldova : This is so stupidly serious and infectious and funny, it's like the Medina from the east, people like this kind of song that it's just 100% true to Moldova, while being authentic, people will connect with it, some juries will tank this entry and some others will push it, letting them reach top 10, I think it's a top 5 televote lock.
I miss one song to fill my top 10 but there are so many entries that can fit the spot 6th to 10th, I think
for example, maybe or or even btw this can TOTALLY CHANGE once we'll see the first rehearsals, some entries will destroy their chances with a weird staging while some others will turn dirt into gold.
What are your predictions ?
