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Dark Horse for 2011

markovs

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March 28, 2010
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95
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Serbia
OK, for it to be a real dark horse the song cannot be high in the betting as they would be considered the 'favourites'. So that rules out France, UK, Estonia, Hungary, Azerbaijan, Sweden (surprisingly, as it's rubbish), Germany, Bosnia & H, Russia and Ireland who are the top 10 in the betting and all 20-1 or under, so can't really be considered 'dark horses'.

Outside of them, I would offer 3 songs as potential dark horses and my reasons

Turkey - Seems to be largely forgotten but is a good solid rock song, they perform it well, Turkey get many diaspora and neighbour votes and generally do well with the juries. You can get 66-1 on this for top 4, a pretty good bet in a weak year.

Austria - For me this is the best ballad in the competition and has a fantastic ending. She is a very good singer and if is lucky to be near the end in the draw could make an impression. Not a winner, but could sneak top 4 at good odds.

Denmark - Again, largely written off, but for me this is a very good torch type song, well sung. It would definitely need to be right at the end of the draw to make a big impression but a good each way bet for me.
 

aletem

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October 1, 2009
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6,602
Location
Canada
I think Macedonia can be a dark horse in terms of qualifying, as their performance did not disappoint at all.
 

LadyKiller

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January 4, 2010
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40°38'N 22°58'E
After watching the rehearsals, I believe and hope Cyprus will be the dark horse.
 

r3gg13

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December 23, 2010
Posts
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Location
San Diego
^
I would love that to happen! We finally have a well performed ethno-rock song! It's on my personal top 10 now :D
 

asia

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Joined
April 27, 2011
Posts
110
Location
osan/manchester
Lol @ scooby, do they have meadow's in san marino? Thought it was mountainous? Good point though, god forbid if they do win, where would they hold it :s
 

Sabrewulf238

Active member
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October 5, 2009
Posts
2,748
Location
Ireland
I'd like to say Albania but I don't really believe that...

So I'll say I think Georgia will be this years dark horse.
 

QwaarJet

ESC Moderator
Joined
March 27, 2010
Posts
9,188
Location
Kilmacolm,Scotland
After the first semi, Serbia and Greece look like they could surprise everyone in the final.
 

Sean

Second in command
Joined
September 28, 2009
Posts
15,446
Location
UK
Iceland
 

Grinch

Well-known member
Joined
March 13, 2011
Posts
6,927
Location
Hogwarts
Georgia - Well deserved
Greece - xheart
Lithuania - wtf?

I strongly hope Netherlands & my sweet Cyprus will do great in sf2 and be dark horses.
 

QwaarJet

ESC Moderator
Joined
March 27, 2010
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Location
Kilmacolm,Scotland
Agreed with Cyprus. Although my vote is for Bulgaria in the second semi, I feel like Cyprus may need that vote more, and it surely deserves to go through.
 

r3gg13

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December 23, 2010
Posts
10,062
Location
San Diego
I think the dark horses from semi 1 are Lithuania (no one saw that coming), Iceland and Switzerland
 

therazortailedpony

New member
Joined
February 27, 2011
Posts
15
Location
Riga, Latvia
A weak voice from the back of my brains told me that Lithuania could qualify since it was the only real Eurovision ballad in semi-1 but then I saw everybody hating on it or not even mentioning it, so I changed my mind. That wasn't that unpredictable, actually. I would've been more surprised if Malta'd qualified.
 
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