Betting Odds 2020

[Nemo89]

Odds won't tell you the winner at the moment but i prefer Bulgaria than Iceland on top.

I agree. Between the two songs, I prefer the Bulgarian song.

 

[Zonne147]

This is being a very unpredictable edition so far. Hope and don't change that, it's going to be funny
A good staging will be more important than ever

 

[AleksTheDino]

This is being a very unpredictable edition so far. Hope and don't change that, it's going to be funny
A good staging will be more important than ever

Hoping for both of them not to be any threat to the countries we have so far! I would love to see a new winner and so many of the favourites would be new. I would also like seeing Switzerland win, even though of course they won before, but not during my lifetime so I almost dont count it xD
I would be especially happy for Bulgaria if they can do it, they really deserve to win eurovision for god's sake!

 

[NikolaiMoller]

Azerbaijan going up now

 

[Realest]

outside the Top10 for the first Time since 2013 I think.

 

[Realest]

Btw. one year ago:

Eurovisionario
@Eurovisionario


Hace un año:

01. Arcade
02. Scream
03. Too Late For Love
04. She Got Me
05. Soldi

 

[Storm]

^Pretty accurate. People always say everything changes during rehearsals but I'm not sure it's really like that or always like that. Of course occasionally there a (big) disappointments (looking at you Gabbani) and surprises (Eleni) and not every year has clear frontrunners.

I remember last year the bubble went crazy during rehearsals and started hyping Australia and France for no reason (temporarily Top 3 in the odds) when the situation in March was more telling.

 

[hijirio]

Idk why Azerbaijan has still not taken over the odds. It's the most positively reviewed song of the year so far.

 

[AleksTheDino]

Idk why Azerbaijan has still not taken over the odds. It's the most positively reviewed song of the year so far.

Well Azerbaijan is 9th, thats pretty high! I think all the countries above still have higher chances of winning, with the exception of Italy and Malta

 

[Nemo89]

Well Azerbaijan is 9th, thats pretty high! I think all the countries above still have higher chances of winning, with the exception of Italy and Malta

In the 2017 betting odds, Portugal swung towards fifth place and nobody would believe in their win. Reading only the probability statistics and giving examples of "Who can or cannot win" leaves time. Every nation in the "Top 10" has good victory rates.

Now I remember Iceland after its entry to reach the summit and the same thing happened for Lithuania and now it's the turn of Bulgaria. Can I tell you who is really dangerous right now? Switzerland. However, I would like to stress that Romania risks being overtaken by Italy. Only at the beginning of the ESC can you make some considerations: you can be sure that the ESC will win one of the nations in the "Top 5". I repeat, this is a musical marathon.

 

[Zonne147]

According to Eurovisionworld:

Bulgaria - Leading on 8 betting houses
Iceland - Leading on 7
Lithuania - Leading on 2
Switzerland - Leading on 1
Russia - Leading on 1

That's insane!! The most unpredictable edition in the last years of the contest

 

[Nemo89]

According to Eurovisionworld:

Bulgaria - Leading on 8 betting houses
Iceland - Leading on 7
Lithuania - Leading on 2
Switzerland - Leading on 1
Russia - Leading on 1

That's insane!! The most unpredictable edition in the last years of the contest

This is what I am constantly repeating. It is impossible to predict the winner. Whoever is in the "Top 10" could win. Indeed, sometimes being first in the predictions is not a good sign.

What makes me very happy is that it will be a very hard-fought edition, with beautiful songs, ballads and songs catchy at 50%, an increase in the nations that choose to sing in their language and ... if there will be all this struggle, if everyone can come to victory, there will be a "war of votes" that will make alliances falter.; the result? A winner out of the "big blocks" is very possible as happened for Portugal and Israel.

 

[Realest]

We have Top10 Odds already:

1		Lithuania The Roop - On Fire	65%	1.15	1.15	1.19
2		Bulgaria Victoria - Tears Getting Sober	65%	1.15	1.15	1.22
3		Switzerland Gjon's Tears - Répondez-moi	63%	1.15	1.15	1.45
4		Italy Diodato - Fai rumore	60%	1.25	1.25	1.33
5		Iceland Daði & Gagnamagnið - Think About Things	60%	1.2	1.2	1.7
6		Russia Little Big - Uno	59%	1.25	1.25	1.42
7		Malta Destiny - All Of My Love	54%	1.33	1.33	1.89
8		Romania Roxen - Alcohol You	50%	1.5	1.5	1.52
9		Azerbaijan Samira Efendi - Cleopatra	49%	1.5	1.5	1.9
10		Sweden The Mamas - Move	41%	1.85	1.85	1.81
11		Norway Ulrikke Brandstorp - Attention	38%	2	2	1.81
12		Denmark Ben & Tan - Yes	30%	2.5	2.5	2.6
13		Germany Ben Dolic - Violent Thing	29%	2.5	2.5	3
14		Georgia Tornike Kipiani - Take Me As I Am	29%	2.5	2.5	3.3
15		Netherlands Jeangu Macrooy - Grow	26%	3	3	2.6
16		Australia Montaigne - Don't Break Me	19%	4	4	3.3
17		Greece Stefania - Superg!rl	19%	4	4	3.9
18		Belgium Hooverphonic - Release Me	19%	4	4	4
19		Israel Eden Alene - Feker Libi	19%	4	4	4.3
20		Poland Alicja Szemplińska - Empires	18%	4	4	4.6
21		Finland Aksel Kankaanranta - Looking Back	15%	4	4	13
22		Ireland Lesley Roy - Story Of My Life	12%	6	6	8
23		Czech Republic Benny Cristo - Kemama	11%	6	6	12
24		Serbia Hurricane - Hasta la vista	11%	7.5	7.5	3.4
25		Armenia Athena Manoukian - Chains On You	11%	7.5	7.5	5
25		United Kingdom J. Newman - My Last Breath	11%	7.5	7.5	5
27		Cyprus Sandro Nicolas - Running	10%	6	6	16
28		North Macedonia Vasil - You	10%	7.5	7.5	9
29		France Tom Leeb - The Best in Me	9%	7.5	7.5	13
30		Spain Blas Cantó - Universo	9%	7.5	7.5	14
31		Ukraine Go_A - Solovey	9%	9	9	4.2
32		Albania Arilena Ara - Fall From The Sky	9%	9	9	6.2
33		Moldova Natalia Gordienko - Prison	8%	9	9	10
34		Austria Vincent Bueno - Alive	8%	9	9	13
35		Latvia Samanta Tīna - Still Breathing	8%	9	9	16
36		San Marino Senhit - Freaky!	7%	9	9	21
37		Portugal Elisa - Medo de sentir	7%	9	9	22
38		Slovenia Ana Soklič - Voda	7%	11	11	10
39		Croatia Damir Kedžo - Divlji vjetre	6%	11	11	20
39		Estonia Uku Suviste - What Love Is	6%	11	11	20
41		Belarus VAL - Da vidna	5%	11	11	34

 

[Citelis]

Switzerland is now 2nd!

 

[Realest]

Top3 Odds are available:

1		Bulgaria Victoria - Tears Getting Sober	32%	2.05	2.02
2		Lithuania The Roop - On Fire	29%	2.3	2.12
3		Switzerland Gjon's Tears - Répondez-moi	27%	2.3	2.62
4		Russia Little Big - Uno	24%	2.8	2.5
5		Iceland Daði & Gagnamagnið - Think About Things	23%	2.7	3.2
6		Romania Roxen - Alcohol You	16%	4
7		Italy Diodato - Fai rumore	14%	5	3.55
8		Malta Destiny - All Of My Love	12%	5.5	4.1
9		Azerbaijan Samira Efendi - Cleopatra	11%	6
10		Germany Ben Dolic - Violent Thing	10%	7	4.1
11		Norway Ulrikke Brandstorp - Attention	9%	8	5.1
11		Sweden The Mamas - Move	9%	8	5.1
13		Georgia Tornike Kipiani - Take Me As I Am	7%	10	5
14		Netherlands Jeangu Macrooy - Grow	7%	11	6
15		Armenia Athena Manoukian - Chains On You	5%	13
15		Australia Montaigne - Don't Break Me	5%	13
15		Ireland Lesley Roy - Story Of My Life	5%	13
18		Belgium Hooverphonic - Release Me	4%	15
19		Israel Eden Alene - Feker Libi	4%	20	6
20		France Tom Leeb - The Best in Me	4%	17
20		Greece Stefania - Superg!rl	4%	17
20		Serbia Hurricane - Hasta la vista	4%	17
23		Denmark Ben & Tan - Yes	3%	20
23		Ukraine Go_A - Solovey	3%	20
25		Finland Aksel Kankaanranta - Looking Back	3%	25	10
26		Moldova Natalia Gordienko - Prison	3%	22
27		United Kingdom J. Newman - My Last Breath	3%	30	7
28		Albania Arilena Ara - Fall From The Sky	3%	25
28		Poland Alicja Szemplińska - Empires	3%	25
30		Czech Republic Benny Cristo - Kemama	2%	35
31		Austria Vincent Bueno - Alive	1%	50
31		Belarus VAL - Da vidna	1%	50
31		Croatia Damir Kedžo - Divlji vjetre	1%	50
31		Cyprus Sandro Nicolas - Running	1%	50
31		Estonia Uku Suviste - What Love Is	1%	50
31		Latvia Samanta Tīna - Still Breathing	1%	50
31		North Macedonia Vasil - You	1%	50
31		Portugal Elisa - Medo de sentir	1%	50
31		San Marino Senhit - Freaky!	1%	50
31		Slovenia Ana Soklič - Voda	1%	50
31		Spain Blas Cantó - Universo	1%	50

 

[Zonne147]

Seeing in top 15

 

[Nemo89]

Italy has overtaken Romania in betting odds! And now he's biting legs of Iceland and Russia ... what's going on?!

 

[Ezio]

Corona makes people sentimental and Italy winning.

the urge to recover from the trauma could boost Russia. It s fun and light

so italy v Russia is the race to watch

 

[4815162342]

No idea. When I checked yesterday it was 22 on betfair, then suddenly 10 late in the night. Wiwibloggs video happened yesterday evening. My guess would be William and Deban talking about Italy as a huge contender and about the current Corona-virus-situation made people bet on Italy.

 

[Alaska49]

Corona makes people sentimental and Italy winning.

the urge to recover from the trauma could boost Russia. It s fun and light

so italy v Russia is the race to watch

people might see that "earth might have just got its immune system to get rid of us" meme and vote for universo to ask for forgiveness so we should consider spain

we can do this tomfoolery for every song so please stop