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Prediction : Semi-finals qualifiers

Looren

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August 10, 2020
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Agadir
Everything is in the title xD

Very open year tbh, many songs can qualify, who do you think will qualify from both semis ?
 

lavieenrose

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August 21, 2014
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Phoenix, AZ / Oovoo Javer
In: :ua: :gr: :pt:
In, probably: :no: :nl: :md:
In, but in trouble: :at:
Wow, I can’t believe I have these down to qualify: :lt: :is: :ch:
Out, but could cause trouble: :al: :bg: :dk:
Out, but figuratively, anything’s possible: :lv: :hr: :am:
Out, but literally, anything’s possible: :sl:
 

Realest

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Last Prediction during the Show:

:ua::no::gr::nl::pt::md::al::lt::lv::am:
 

theCONWEL

WorldVision & OM Mod
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After performances: 🇦🇱🇱🇻🇺🇦🇳🇱🇲🇩🇩🇰🇦🇹🇬🇷🇳🇴🇦🇲
 

Bobjan FR

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At the last moment, I will say :

Albania, Lituania, Ukraine, Moldova, Netherlands, Norway, Armenia, Greece, Portugal, austria
 

GermanBango

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Hahahaha guess the „BIG POINTS“ from Denmark weren’t enough for Austria after all. xheat
 

Charly

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UK - Morocco
For me its merely quite impossible to provide full predictions of who qualifys etc.

But netherless the way I will put this:

SEMI 1 Safe Qualifiers:
:ua: :gr: :nl: :no: :am: :al: :lt:

Semi 1 Battleground:
:lv: :at: :is: :md: :ch:

Well it seems I was wrong with Albania being a safe and I actually accidently forgot to put Portugal in my safe qualifiers I knew i was missing a flag :s

But apart from that I think I was spot on especially in my head Iceland qualifying
 

LoveHate

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February 2, 2013
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815
Location
Helsinki
Semi 1
Ukraine
Norway
Greece
Netherlands
Portugal
Moldova
Albania
Austria
Armenia
For the last spot heart says Lithuania, mind says Latvia.
Heart got 8/10. Switzerland and Iceland were a bit boring, but I must admit their live performances elevated the songs. Marius probably nailed the jury performance.
 

VirginiaVision

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Username checks out
I got 8/10. Had :md: and :is: swapped with :al: and :lv:. Very sad about Latvia since it was my favorite entry this year :(

I was shocked when :ch: qualified, but then discovered that I had actually predicted it would... guess I forgot
 

Mainshow

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December 23, 2018
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That´s my "final" predication (after watching the short 2nd rehearsal clips + "based on" my gut feeling):

Semi 1:
:ua: :no: :gr: :is: :pt: :lt: :md: :at: :am: :nl:

Semi 2:
:se: :pl: :au: :cy: :fi: :rs: :ie: :ee: :ro: :sm:

Semi 1: 9/10

After seeing the 2nd rehearsal clips, I thought that :at: would be a sure qualifier - I´m shocked :ch: qualified instead but oh well, I´m not unhappy about this - Overall, I´m really happy about the results and pleasantly surprised that :md: :nl: :lt: :pt: and especially :is: qualified! Europe, you´ve got some taste!! ;)
 

lavieenrose

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Phoenix, AZ / Oovoo Javer
I went nine for ten in semi 1, so let's parlay this misplaced confidence into more predictions!

In: :se: :ee: :au: :pl:
In, probably: :rs: :be: :cy:
In, but in trouble: :sm: :az: :fi:
Out, but could cause trouble: :mt: :me: :ge:
Out, but figuratively, anything’s possible: :ie: :ro: :cz:
Out, but literally, anything’s possible: :mk: :il:

Part of me wants to push the button and jettison :fi: from the qualifier list, but I think the nostalgia of the name will JUST pull them through to the final. Just.
 

Yazy

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August 11, 2014
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Dubrovnik, Croatia
For semi 1, I guessed everybody except for :ch:.

I had :al: instead.

Then again, I couldn´t watch the show so I´m not sure if I would have changed up any of my predictions after seeing the full performances.
 

GermanBango

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April 13, 2012
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Hannover
Finally found the time to do my voting simulation based on voting patterns, polls, Youtube views, rehearsal reception and odds. This is what I got:

Overall
20221.jpg


Jury
2022jury1.jpg


Tele
2022tele1.jpg
9/10 😎
Guess my prediction wasn’t as „crazy“ and „made-up“ after all. Muhahaha.
 

TiSc

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April 11, 2021
Posts
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Location
Berlin
The qualifiers from last night weren't so bad for me personally. I got all my favourites and then another four I would have put through if I had to decide all on my own. I just would have swapped Switzerland for Croatia, but I'm completely fine with the results, I think Switzerland is a great entry, just not my personal taste.
So who knows, perhaps my personal favourites aren't so far off of what will actually happen this year.

Qualifiers I need for the second semi: Serbia, Poland, Australia, Czech Republic and Sweden.
Additional qualifiers I would put through if I alone was in charge: Georgia, San Marino, Belgium, Estonia and Finland.

But I have a hunch, the second semi won't go down as easily as the first. I'm confident about the five I need, but I guess, I will lose either San Marino or Georgia, and I'm expecting Cyprus to make it through instead.
 

Sabrewulf238

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October 5, 2009
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Ireland
I'll probably post my final prediction in the live show thread for the second semi after everyone has performed (and I've finished voting!)

I feel pretty solid about 7 songs qualifying right now (Sweden, Poland, Australia, Serbia, Estonia, Czech Republic and Cyprus) but then from about 8th place down to 14th it all seems very mysterious to me. I think there's definitely room for some surprises tomorrow night.
 

HayashiM

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January 26, 2019
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Prague, Czech Republic
Is this the most open semi, like, ever? My prediction: :se: :pl: :ee: :az: :au: :rs: :be: :cy: :il: :sm:

Sailing through with no doubt: :se: :pl:
Most probably Q: :ee: :az: :au: :rs:
Borderline Q: :be: :cy: :il: :sm: :cz:
Borderline NQ: :me: :fi: :ro: :mt:
Most probably NQ: :ge: :cy:
Almost chanceless: :mk: :ie:

I don't really see a clear televote magnet in this semi (except maybe :se:) and because of that, I believe the middle of the scoreboard will be extremely close, possibly favouring the juries' favourites.

The odds overestimate the relative chances of: :au: :rs: :cz: :fi:
The odds underestimate the relative chances of: :az: :il: and especially :me: (I have her as a borderline NQ, but if anyone is shocking us like Switzerland on Tuesday, it's definitely Vladana).

Leaks based edit:
 
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