Prediction : Semi-finals qualifiers

[Looren]

Everything is in the title xD

Very open year tbh, many songs can qualify, who do you think will qualify from both semis ?

 

[theditz83]

My qualifier predictions now all the semi qualifier previews have been revealed (not my personal choice)

Semi 1:
Safe:
Likely safe:
Borderlines:
Out:

Semi 2 (bloodbath!!):
Safe:
Likely safe:
Borderlines:
Out:

 

[GermanBango]

Are you people serious, making all this scandal just for a qualifier prediction ?

They are obvs just butthurt because in that prediction Austria would be a NQ lmao.

 

[Laepo1]

Well it is but I never said that this is definitely what’s gonna happen haha. Would be boring if I could see the future, no?

People get way too upset with predictions lol

Many years ago in Portugal a football player said he would make "predictions only at the end of the game". I guess that's what we should do here too, to avoid some butthurting.

 

[GermanBango]

People get way too upset with predictions lol

Many years ago in Portugal a football player said he would make "predictions only at the end of the game". I guess that's what we should do here too, to avoid some butthurting.

Yea I mean, at the end of the day it’s just a fun thought experiment. Not more not less.

 

[aef]

They are obvs just butthurt because in that prediction Austria would be a NQ lmao.

Not really but tbh you made your prediction look very scientific and you called it „based on voting patterns“ but it’s obviously not based on anything. That’s totally okay and no big deal but that’s what made us discuss about it…

 

[GermanBango]

Not really but tbh you made your prediction look very scientific and you called it „based on voting patterns“ but it’s obviously not based on anything. That’s totally okay and no big deal but that’s what made us discuss about it…

Scientific? Lmao. What’s supposed to be scientific about a Song Contest?
It is based on voting patterns AMONG OTHER THINGS. Reading is fundamental.

 

[Laepo1]

Anywayz, my predictions with no order,

Semifinal 1
Yes

No



Semifinal 2
Yes

No

 

[Ezio]

They are obvs just butthurt because in that prediction Austria would be a NQ lmao.

Not at all. I just can't with all these elaborate figures pretending to mean something when they are just lazy and crazy.

Of course I checked the Austrian vote tally, but the others wouldn't make any sense neither. Austria NQ coming from the Sorry Zero points neighbour is the running gag for ages now, so I don't give a flying fuck about that.

 

[Ezio]

Scientific? Lmao. What’s supposed to be scientific about a Song Contest?
It is based on voting patterns AMONG OTHER THINGS. Reading is fundamental.

I pity you for your ignorance. Statistics is science. Empirical data from voting patterns is publicly available and can be used by amateurs with a little bit of Hirnschmalz to emulate a prediction that makes sense in another year.

What you did was to dice some scores and then try to fit in some crazy votes without looking at the voting country and their pattern.

You would have looked more clever without these voting cross tables.

 

[theCONWEL]

After rehearsals:

Semi 1


Semi 2

 

[Bobjan FR]

I'm lazy to put a full prediction now, i will just put the opinions i have that majority of people may disagree with :

I think that :
-Lithuania will be qualified, by jury and public
-Finland will be a borderline qualifier (max 8th in SF) or a shock eliminated
-Israel will qualify

 

[GermanBango]

I pity you for your ignorance. Statistics is science. Empirical data from voting patterns is publicly available and can be used by amateurs with a little bit of Hirnschmalz to emulate a prediction that makes sense in another year.

What you did was to dice some scores and then try to fit in some crazy votes without looking at the voting country and their pattern.

You would have looked more clever without these voting cross tables.

Ok dear, whatever you say.

 

[Charly]

For me its merely quite impossible to provide full predictions of who qualifys etc.

But netherless the way I will put this:

SEMI 1 Safe Qualifiers:


Semi 1 Battleground:


SEMI 2 Safe Qualifiers:


SEMI 2 Battleground:

 

[fabianinna]

My qualifier predictions now all the semi qualifier previews have been revealed (not my personal choice)

Semi 1:
Safe:
Likely safe:
Borderlines:
Out:

Semi 2 (bloodbath!!):
Safe:
Likely safe:
Borderlines:
Out:

Where is the Netherlands haha

 

[theditz83]

Where is the Netherlands haha

I'm trying to forget it exists

 

[Deleted member 12761]

SF1:

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

SF2:

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10. (or )

 

[Hatari2600]

So now that we have rehearsal clips... Still super hard to predict. Which shows by all the vastly different takes in this thread!

Guaranteed:
Likely in:
Borderline:
Likely out:
Dead on arrival:
Prediction:

And now SF2

Guaranteed:
Likely:
Borderline:
Unlikely:
Dead on arrival:
Prediction:

I kind of struggle to find 10 songs that feel like qualifiers in this semi... The last few spots feel like a complete crapshoot

 

[ati0111]

SEMI 1:
1.Ukraine 2.Greece 3.Norway 4.Portugal 5.The Netherlands 6.Armenia 7.Albania 8.Latvia 9.Lithuania 10.Croatia
11.Austria 12.Iceland 13.Moldova 14.Switzerland 15.Slovenia 16.Bulgaria 17.Denmark

SEMI 2:
1.Sweden 2.Poland 3.Estonia 4.Serbia 5.Czech Republic 6.Australia 7.Finland 8.Cyprus 9.Azerbaijan 10.Romania
11.Belgium 12.San Marino 13.Israel 14.Georgia 15.Malta 16.Montenegro 17.North Macedonia 18.Ireland

 

[Mainshow]

That´s my "final" predication (after watching the short 2nd rehearsal clips + "based on" my gut feeling):

Semi 1:


Semi 2:

 

[Ana Raquel]

Not changing my predictions from march just because.

Semi 1:


- Alternatives: and

Semi 2:


- Alternatives:


I actually have some changes but I just want to see how well I would do with my first predictions