Predictions : Grand Final

[Looren]

Here we go ! We know the running order, we know the finalists

Let's predict the results

 

[Looren]

Pretty hard to predict tbh, I think it can be something like that :

Jury :

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.

Televote :

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.

Final ranking :

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11-15ish (random order) :
16-20ish (random order) :
21-25ish (random order) :

 

[Ewigkeit]

Televote
1.
2.

Don’t know about the rest

 

[GermanBango]

Sweden wins the whole thing. Full prediction later.

 

[TiSc]

Because of the Ukraine situation, it's a difficult to predict year. I think, Ukraine could definitely win. It's a good song that always had top 5 potential. If we're adding the war, this could easily put them over the edge. But I don't think it's a given.

The closest rival for me is still Italy. This song has had such a huge impact during and after Sanremo, I think it's crazy to discount it. But this song needs a clean vocal. We know they can do it, though.

I think Spain and the UK are wildly overestimated. Personally, I wouldn't mind the UK winning, but I just don't see it happening. Like Spain, it won't get enough televote support. Both entries could bring their respective countries back to the top 10, though.

Greece is very hard to predict. Personally, I think this is an excellent song, but I've been wrong about this kind of entry in the past, so I'm not getting my hopes up. Top 10 should be doable, though.

Same goes for Poland, Sweden and Serbia. I wouldn't mind any of them winning, but I think the first two are rather in contention for a jury win, but will fall short with the televote. With Serbia it could be the other way around.

Portugal's a dark horse, the running order doesn't indicate that it has done particularly well in the semi, but who knows. I would love this to reach top 10 as well and I can still dream of a victory.

The top 10 will probably be complete with the Netherlands or Australia. Lithuania could suprise and so could Moldova, but I don't really see it happening. Together with France and Finland they will probably complete the top 15.

Who could be last? For one, Germany, then Romania or Switzerland. I honestly don't see anyone else.

The rest will be somewhere in no man's land. Norway is still hard to predict, it could perhaps keep Spain or Serbia out of the top 10 - or Greece, if I'm heavíly overestimating Amanda's chances. Norway's my wildcard.

EDIT I completely forgot about Czech Republic. So scratch Norway, We are Domi are my wildcard. I could see them finish top 5, since they are opening the show with a bang, or they could end up somewhere on the right hand side of the scoreboard.

 

[aef]

is overrated like hell, and are too. Victory seems to be locked for right now

 

[akoz]

My predicition:
Top 5 (1-5):
Bottom 5 (21-25):
Overall pretty strong final, I only dislike Switzerland song and will definetly vote for Iceland to them not finishing in last 5.

 

[Storm]

1 Ukraine
2 Italy
3 Serbia
4 Sweden
5 Poland
6 Spain
7 Moldova
8 Greece
9 Norway
10 UK
11 France
12 The Netherlands
13 Portugal
14 Romania
15 Estonia
16 Australia
17 Finland
18 Czech Republic
19 Azerbaijan
20 Iceland
21 Lithuania
22 Armenia
23 Belgium
24 Switzerland
25 Germany

 

[aef]

Wild guess for overall prediction:

1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
20.
21.
22.
23.
24.
25.

 

[Navn Navnes]

Jury
1 Italy
2 Greece
3 Sweden
4 UK
5 Portugal
6 Poland
7 Ukraine
8 Netherlands
9 Spain
10 Lithuania
11 Australia
12 France
13 Belgium
14 Azerbaijan
15 Iceland
16 Switzerland
17 Finland
18 Serbia
19 Czech Republic
20 Estonia
21 Armenia
22 Moldova
23 Norway
24 Germany
25 Romania

Televote
1 Ukraine
2 France
3 Moldova
4 Norway
5 Serbia
6 Finland
7 Spain
8 UK
9 Italy
10 Sweden
11 Czech Republic
12 Poland
13 Estonia
14 Portugal
15 Australia
16 Netherlands
17 Romania
18 Lithuania
19 Greece
20 Armenia
21 Iceland
22 Belgium
23 Switzerland
24 Azerbaijan
25 Germany

Overall
1 Ukraine
2 Italy
3 France
4 UK
5 Moldova
6 Sweden
7 Norway
8 Spain
9 Finland
10 Portugal
11 Poland
12 Serbia
13 Greece
14 Netherlands
15 Czech Republic
16 Australia
17 Estonia
18 Lithuania
19 Iceland
20 Belgium
21 Azerbaijan
22 Armenia
23 Romania
24 Switzerland
25 Germany

Personal top 25
1 Portugal
2 Finland
3 France
4 Ukraine
5 Moldova
6 Lithuania
7 Netherlands
8 Iceland
9 Serbia
10 UK
11 Italy
12 Poland
13 Spain
14 Norway
15 Czech Republic
16 Greece
17 Australia
18 Belgium
19 Estonia
20 Armenia
21 Switzerland
22 Romania
23 Sweden
24 Azerbaijan
25 Germany

 

[Realest]

01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25

 

[ati0111]

JURY

1.	UK
2.	Sweden
3.	Netherlands
4.	Poland
5.	Greece
6.	Australia
7.	Ukraine
8.	Estonia
9.	Serbia
10.	Italy
11.	Spain
12.	Belgium
13.	Czech Republic
14.	Portugal
15.	Switzerland
16.	Germany
17.	Azerbaijan
18.	Moldova
19.	France
20.	Norway
21.	Armenia
22.	Lithuania
23.	Iceland
24.	Finland
25.	Romania

TELEVOTE

1.	Ukraine
2.	Serbia
3.	Poland
4.	UK
5.	Sweden
6.	Netherlands
7.	Italy
8.	Moldova
9.	Norway
10.	Estonia
11.	Spain
12.	Greece
13.	Portugal
14.	France
15.	Lithuania
16.	Romania
17.	Finland
18.	Armenia
19.	Azerbaijan
20.	Australia
21.	Germany
22.	Czech Republic
23.	Iceland
24.	Belgium
25.	Switzerland

OVERALL

1.	UK
2.	Ukraine
3.	Sweden
4.	Poland
5.	Netherlands
6.	Serbia
7.	Greece
8.	Italy
9.	Estonia
10.	Australia
11.	Spain
12.	Moldova
13.	Norway
14.	Portugal
15.	Czech Republic
16.	France
17.	Belgium
18.	Azerbaijan
19.	Lithuania
20.	Germany
21.	Armenia
22.	Switzerland
23.	Romania
24.	Finland
25.	Iceland

 

[mauve]

I won't predict the exact places, just the televoters' and the Jury votes' favorites:

televote:
UK

Jury vote:
Sweden

 

[Hatari2600]

Jury vote
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Televote
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Overall
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.

Last place:

 

[Ana Raquel]

copy-paste top 10 prediction



yes in this order

 

[Skrzeczk]

I mostly agree with the odds. The most likely top3 and contenders for the win: . I think most likely Ukraine will win, but it's less likely than 50/50.
and can get top5 results but I can see them doing worse than expected. I can say the same about top10 score for and but I think that Poland and Greece has the biggest risk of getting lower scores than expected and great number of views of Serbia is very promising. I have a feeling that Switzerland can surprise us with a good result.

 

[Grinch]

Televote winner:
Jury winner:
Overall:

(Please anything else other than these 2 )

 

[HayashiM]

01 Ukraine
02 Sweden
03 United Kingdom
04 Italy
05 Greece
06 Spain
07 Serbia
08 Norway
09 Poland
10 Netherlands
11 Australia
12 Moldova
13 Czechia
14 Estonia
15 France
16 Azerbaijan
17 Portugal
18 Finland
19 Switzerland
20 Armenia
21 Belgium
22 Iceland
23 Lithuania
24 Romania
25 Germany

I don't expect a landslide for though, it's a three horse race together with and . might have a small chance as well, and that's it.

 

[Himan]

1 big winner obviously
2 it's close for 2nd and 3rd in my eyes
3 can both attract votes from juries and televotes
4 might be a bit lower televotes
5 lot of countries can take 'their' jury points, won't do that good with televotes
6 lots of Balkan points, some surprise points from Western juries
7 same as though I think without the surprise points
8 5th with juries also points from Western Tele's
9 falls a bit in the middle of everything
10 the fun opener(like Belgium 2016)
11 Not a lot of jury points,5th with tele's(Spain, UK, Ukraine, Italy will take those points)
12 top 8 with juries but falls away a bit
13 same as without points...
14 some points from their neighbors
15 same as France
16 some Nordic Juries and teles
17 some western jury points
18 some southern tele's/juries
19 some Nordic/Baltic televotes
20 maybe some jury points?
21 definite Baltic points.
22 don't know, but more than 3 points.
23 2 points from French jury. 1 from Dutch Televote
24 1 point from German juries
25 0 points

wins the juries and the televotes with a landslide which can make the bottom a bit weird.

 

[Gitte]

Ukraine is 5th or 6th in the juries and wins the televote, but the televote isn't a landslide televote victory and there's a tie with a country that placed 2nd to 5th in both televote and jury.