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Eurovision 2022 Potential winners

EfendiFanSpain

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This are the potential winners I will have in account:
1.United Kingdom
2.Italy
3.Ukraine
4: The Netherlands
5.Spain
6.Sweden
7.Belgium

What are your potential winners?
 

Zeus

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I feel the juries will pick the winner this year.
I think the other way around. Entries like Italy, Sweden, Netherlands, Ukraine, Greece, Poland, Australia, Estonia, Portugal and UK could all receive a lot of juryvotes. I mean, this year is full of jury-friendly songs. I think there will be a lot of countries getting votes from the juries and therefore we will not see big gaps between them.

So the winner will be the one that also get a big amount of televotes. And I guess that a lot of hyped entries will dissapoint big time with televotes.
 

ayzelto

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I think the other way around. Entries like Italy, Sweden, Netherlands, Ukraine, Greece, Poland, Australia, Estonia and UK could all receive a lot of juryvotes. I mean, this year is full of jury-friendly songs. I think there will be a lot of countries getting votes from the juries and therefore we will not see big gaps between them.

So the winner will be the one that also get a big amount of televotes. And I guess that a lot of hyped entries will dissapoint big time with televotes.
I couldn't agree more. Actually I mentioned some of these countries in my list before. But if Ukraine receives a lot of points from the juries, then we have a clear winner.
 

Zeus

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I couldn't agree more. Actually I mentioned some of these countries in my list before. But if Ukraine receives a lot of points from the juries, then we have a clear winner.
Yeah and I think it's possible as well. I mean, I think it's good that there are juries, but these Eurovision-juries aren't critical, cold snobs or something. They are just some happy c-artists, radio people and crappy producers. They too will vote with some sentimental feelings. And if Ukraine gets across a very emotional performance they too will give a lot of 12's and there you have it, a strong juryresult as well.
 

I bims

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These are my Big 4 when it comes to winning:

:se: They will probably be Top 2 with the juries and will just need enough support by the public. And it's looking good on that side as well, the reception is much better compared to past entries like "Voices", "Too Late for Love" or "Dance you off". But I could also see a Barbara Pravi scenario (great in both categories but outdone by a different competitor each time) or even a Lundvik 2.0.

:ua: Very very likely winners but... I think the juries will tank them. They could pull a Maneskin and win the televote and that could be enough. But this year there are a lot of jury pleasers, so I don't see them in their Top 5.

:it: Big fan favs but I think the win is getting less and less likely. I just think it's harder to motivate people to vote for the hosting country, even if the song is good. Last year they stood out a lot more. Will depend on the staging if they do well and they could get lost in the running order.

:nl: The dark horse. S10 could repeat Duncan Laurance and win without actually winning either jury or televote. Very unlikely and if they win it won't be by a lot.

- "Honorable mentions" -

:pl: Will do great with the juries (don't really see it win the jury though) but will be ranked way lower by the public.

:gr: Casuals I showed this to really didn't care that much about it, so maybe that just tainted my view. Jury will probably like it but I think this will not fulfill big expectations. Except if staged very well. NO GREENSCREEN!

:es: I'm really surprised that the fans on Youtube are hyping up Chanel so much. Yes Spain will do good this year, Top 10 for sure but it's not a winner.

EDIT: Spelling. WHY DO I ALWAYS WRITE "except" WRONG?!
 
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Nicholas123

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Expect if staged very well. NO GREENSCREEN!

Agggh tell me about it! :/ I think the staging potential in Die Together is enormous, but i don't really see Fokas getting it right. It's just not a song he can comprehend and give it a staging that will do it justice. But dum spiro spero i guess.
 

I bims

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Agggh tell me about it! :/ I think the staging potential in Die Together is enormous, but i don't really see Fokas getting it right. It's just not a song he can comprehend and give it a staging that will do it justice. But dum spiro spero i guess.
I'm a bit more optimistic because I think they just really wanted to do this idea they had for the "Supergirl" staging and then just did it for "Last Dance". Now they hopefully go in with that bs out of their system and try something more fitting.

But I'm still sad that they ruined their chances 2021 so much... Top 10 with THAT green mess means to me that it could've been maybe Top 4-5 with a more competent staging.
 

Nicholas123

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I'm a bit more optimistic because I think they just really wanted to do this idea they had for the "Supergirl" staging and then just did it for "Last Dance". Now they hopefully go in with that bs out of their system and try something more fitting.

But I'm still sad that they ruined their chances 2021 so much... Top 10 with THAT green mess means to me that it could've been maybe Top 4-5 with a more competent staging.

I heard some rumors that this year we won't be using any props at all, which seems surprising, given that it's Fokas we r talking about. :mrgreen:. I am sitll in disbelief, but let's wait and see! :lol:
 

I bims

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I heard some rumors that this year we won't be using any props at all, which seems surprising, given that it's Fokas we r talking about. :mrgreen:. I am sitll in disbelief, but let's wait and see! :lol:
* 2018 Flashback *
matt-le-blanc-realize.gif
 

HayashiM

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Unless Ukraine runs away with it, it's gonna be extremely close. I don't think we get a winner with 500+ points, could be somewhere between 400-450. Which leaves space for dark horses, coming if not completely out of nowhere, then still at least as a little surprise for many.
So my n°1 guess at the moment is... :uk:. Sam Ryder is really huge on social media (solid televote) and I have absolutely zero doubt about his vocals (solid jurypoints as well), which is something I cannot say for most of the other frontrunners. Mahmood's falsetto/Kalush's white singing/even Corenelia's vocals could be a little problematic for the juries. The only "if" is the staging - Space Man stages itself, but this is still the :uk: so I am a little worried about that, sorry :(.
The second slightly surprising option is :es: - with Chanel pulling an Eleni, but no one finding their Toy this time. There is very little competition in Chanel's pond - possibly Ronela or Brook, but that seems about it. And like it or not, we already know Chanel's staging is a fantastic one.
My final dark horse candidate is :no:, just because to me, it kind of makes sense for the longer term ESC pattern. The song is different - in the right way for its numerous fans, possibly hitting the sweet spot for being just polarising enough. Juries should dig those vocals as well. There's also the intrigue element about their identity. As much as the song is very near to the bottom of my ranking, I can picture it as an ESC winner.
:ua:, :it: and :se: are all the hot favourites who will almost surely make the top 10, but I don't believe any of them wins. :ua: is probably getting tanked by the juries and both :it: and :se: aren't as instant, they are growers that imo need a little more time.
 
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EscUKFan

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I think if after the jury vote, Ukraine are in the top five and have ~150+ points (and there isn’t a landslide jury winner) then I think it’ll be a done deal before the televote is even announced.
 

WhoKnows

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:ua:

It will be the overwhelming winner with the televote. It probably won't win the jury vote, but I also don't think the juries will downvote it badly enough to stop its victory. Plus, the juries will have several songs to pick from (Sweden, Italy, Netherlands, etc), so there won't be one runaway jury winner. And none of them strikes me as a televote magnet.
 

Himan

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:ua: :ua: :ua:

There is no excitement in my eyes. Ukraine is going to win. (if they are there)
 

VikingTiger

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I love how unpredictable this year is when it comes to pointing at a possible winner. In my book there are several countries that can win. I am sure it will all be much clearer after the rehearsals.

:ua: - Ukraine will surely get a huge amount of televotes. Sadly their diaspora have risen with millions just in some weeks. And the country is high on all european's minds, and will gain from a hugely positive bias. But the song itself, is it instant enough? And what about the juries? Songs with rap have often had problems in the ESC. I dont see Ukraine being top 2 after the jury votes. But yes, Ukraine is one of the contenders for the trophy.

:se: - Sweden is again one to watch out for. This will do real well with the juries, and might end up as the jury winner. But there are more songs this year that will be fighting for the more or less the same segment of the jury points. Alongside Sweden there's Italy, the Netherlands, Greece, Australia. All seem to do great live performances and the songs are slow/midtempo. I dont find Hold me Closer instant enough to get a top 3 in the televotes.

:it: - As for Italy my analisis will be very much like that of Sweden. This will be one of several jury pleasers. And I think Italy is the most likely winner of the jury votes. The fact that Italy bring a male duo makes it rather rare in the ESC. That will be an additional plus. As Sweden they will do well in the televotes as well. I do think my beloved Mahmood will end up top 3 once again. I dont think neither the juries nore the televotes will have any kind of bias towards Italy because they won last year.

:es: - What happens to Spain is all about Chanel. I know I am biased to this kind of latin pop. And una diva latina. The juries will probably appreciate Chanel more than the song itself. So goes for the televoters. Last year I would not mention Spain as a possible winner, since in Rotterdam there were plenty of female bops (Efendi, Elena, Destiny, Natalia, Senhit, Eden, Hurricane). But this year? I think Chanel will stand out this year. And she seems to be professional to the fingertips. And I do not think TVE will ruin this.

:no: - I can actually see another "keiino"; Norway winning the televotes. The kids do have mobiles these days. I see this doing better outside the bubble than amongst the fans. This will definitely stand out, it's instant and TV screen friendly, and the wolves seem to be taking this very seriously. The question is how much this will be killed by the juries. But as I (and others) have already pointed out, the juries have many entries to support - so the chance is that the televoters will have the last say.
 

Looren

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Agggh tell me about it! :/ I think the staging potential in Die Together is enormous, but i don't really see Fokas getting it right. It's just not a song he can comprehend and give it a staging that will do it justice. But dum spiro spero i guess.

Well for me Greece is the favorite to win if they stage it well, and I hope they'll get a great staging
 

Bobjan FR

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There was already a topic about this question, so i copy my comment :

For me the contestants that have a chance to win :

The 3 most probables : :ua: :se: :it:
Others very dangerous : :fr: :pl: :gr: :nl: :uk: :fi:
I imagine them very well win the televote : :no:
The live is totally awesome, she could make it : :es:
I wouldn't have expect it at the beginning, but they are quite popular, which is unexpected for their styles : :rs: :pt:


It looks a lot, but since i saw the common linnets reach the second place, i keep in my mind there is a possibility the winner can be a contestant a bit unexpected from the beginning.


Oh, and, i don't think theses ones can win, but they could do very well in the ranking : :al: :cz: :ee: :cy: :at:
 

Chorizo

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Possible winners:

:ua: Ukraine would have done well even without the war and could win the televote due to extra support this year. The Ukrainian refugees can be expected to vote for their homeland as well. The juries will support it more than they would have without the war. Normally, the juries would prevent a song like this from winning, but we have seen in 2018 that a song can do better with the juries for political reasons. Israel didn't win the jury vote that year, but a song with clucking and a performance featuring the chicken dance still got enough points from the juries to win, foremost thanks to virtue-signaling Western juries that wanted to show support for "Me Too" and "female empowerment" in addition to making a statement against "fat shaming". I don't expect Ukraine to win the jury vote, but it could still be the overall winner.

:se: I think Sweden could be a compromise winner. I don't think it will win either the jury vote or the televote, but the combined result might be enough for a win.

:it: Similar to Sweden, it could be a compromise winner. I don't think it will win the televote because screechy ballads rarely do. The juries have many ballads to choose from, so I'm skeptical about Italy winning the jury vote as well. It might get extra votes from jury members who see that Italy is favored by the betting market and it could get fewer points from the audience because Italy just won anyway.

:pl: Poland could win the jury vote, but a ballad like this will not win the televote. If the juries clearly favor Poland among the multitude of ballads while the televote is split between various countries, it might be enough for Poland to win.


Not winning:

:no: It could win the televote, but it will not get much love from the juries.

:es: I'm surprised people think this could win. The juries can't be expected to give many points to this kind of song and I don't think it will be that successful with the audience either. I'd be surprised if Spain managed to get into the top 10. Top 15 seems plausible due to people being bored by too many ballads.

:at: If the live performance works out, it should do very well in the televote, but the juries will rather give their points to various ballads that will flop in the televote.

:fr: It should do well in the televote, but the juries will rather vote for the usual safe ballads instead of supporting ethnic sounds. It might get more support than Ukraine last year because it's France, so I still expect a decent result if it's staged well.

The many (female) ballads should do well with the juries, but there are just too many of them, so I think we will rather see regional voting patterns and jury points spread between various ballads than a winner from that sea of ballads. The jury from Cyprus will, of course, give 12 points to the Greek ballad and the Netherlands might get top points from Belgium for its ballad, for example. I would be suprised if the juries can agree on a winning ballad, and I don't think any of these songs will get major support in the televote. Should there be a clear jury favorite after all, there could be a surprise winner, especially if the song is staged very well, leading to more support from the audience at the same time.
 

dannytr24

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the Netherlands might get top points from Belgium for its ballad, for example.
It's the turn of the jury from Wallonia this year, I think the Netherlands can be happy with a top 10. I expect more points from :de: jury.


I think :at: will do well in :nl: with both, jury and televoters.
 

StephenMuckle

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I can't see anyone other than Ukraine winning at the moment. I think closer to the time, people on TV, especially on shows like Good Morning Britain will probably be openly appealing for people to ignore the songs and vote Ukraine out of solidarity. Various charity groups will also be encouraging people to vote for Ukraine, similar to what disability awareness charities were doing for Lost Voice Guy on BGT. And as I've already seen, people who are hostile to Eurovision and bash it for being political see an opportunity to damage it's reputation, so I can see people like them picking up their phones and voting Ukraine to stick two fingers up to the contest and make it look bad.
 
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