Betting Odds 2022

[Realest]

We finally have the first Odds:

1	Sweden	5%	13	11	14
2	Russia	4%		13	23
3	Italy	4%	17	12	17
4	France	4%	17	14	34
5	Switzerland	3%		14	38
6	Norway	3%		20	17
7	Cyprus	3%		18	32
7	Iceland	3%		18	32
7	Ukraine	3%		18	32
10	Australia	3%		18	36
11	Netherlands	3%		20	32
12	Belgium artist: Jérémie Makiese	3%		21	32
13	Moldova	3%		20	42
14	Finland	2%		22	36
14	Israel	2%		21	42
14	Malta	2%		21	42
17	Azerbaijan	2%		23	32
17	Denmark	2%		23	32
17	Estonia	2%		23	32
20	Czech Republic	2%		22	42
20	Lithuania	2%		22	42
20	Portugal	2%		22	42
23	Austria	2%		20	55
24	Greece	2%		24	32
25	Armenia	2%		24	38
26	Romania	2%		24	42
27	Ireland	2%	26	27	55
28	Slovenia	2%		26	55
29	Serbia	2%		25	65
30	Croatia	2%		27	55
30	Germany	2%	34	22	55
32	Spain	2%		27	60
33	United Kingdom	2%	34	27	60
34	North Macedonia	2%		23	100
35	Latvia	2%		26	90
35	Poland	2%		26	90
37	Albania	2%		25	100
38	Montenegro	2%		27	110
38	San Marino	2%		27	110
40	Georgia artist: Circus Mircus	1%		27	150
41	Bulgaria Intelligent Music Project - Intention	1%		75	55

 

[simonPL]

OMG, every 6 years this miracle is happen.

 

[nofuxCZ]

Wrocław 2023

 

[Mainshow]

I´ve got family in Kraków, Glwice and Katowice + friends in Warszawa - hopefully, ESC 2023 will be taking place in one of these cities

 

[ESC94]

If wins at some point in the future I´d prefer Wroclaw or Krakow as host city.

 

[nudiecrudi]

Italy is going to win it again
I'm kidding
But honestly I'm not rooting for a Poland win for many reasons

 

[Iker]

Imagine in 1991, France would have won with the rules as we know them now. How that would have changed the narrative of ESC history.

France clocking in at 6 wins to date, and Sweden at 5 (including the thefts of 1984, 1999 and 2015). In 2021, we would have been so thrilled to know if France could finally catch up with Ireland, not Sweden. Damn, what a wasted opportunity 31 years ago. France would have been the leading country in Euro wins until 1995 together with Ireland which broke away a year later. (It was tied with the most wins back then until 1993).

France' song was way superior, but the tie-break rules and the Scandi bloc worked against them. I have to admit, as a little boy, I was more excited for the captivating stormvind, but now as a grown dude, I don't see any redeeming qualities, while I am realising the loss we suffered.

Of course, I am also still unhappy how Sweden snatched the victory in 1999 with such an irrelevant over Iceland, which also belonged to the Scandi bloc, but apparently not its favourite member state. And 2015 of couse, how the absolute record breaking televote winner got blocked by a trite David Guetta rip-off with a then-cool but terribly aged staging. But 1984 was probably one of the worst songs that ever won the contest in otherwise not so terrible edition. Imagine Ireland winning and now holding 8 wins (sounds boring, too, but is a totally legit assumption, maybe it would have satisfied Johnny Logan and Linda Martin so much that they would not have returned to ESC though, who knows).

But Sweden getting away with so many bland entries is the main source for oddmakers to put them so high every year.

Of course, there are diamond and pearls in Swedish Eurovision history, and particularly at Melodifestivalen (Lena Ph, Dotter, The Monikers....), but the main course is mostly fast food that jurors are eating up always.

This song was/is wonderful. I somehow knew it without knowing it was at the ESC! I was surprised when someone asked me to listen to it and me recognising it immediately. It sounds fascinating unlike most of the early 90s Eurovision corny boredoms (some of them ended up winning the contest).

 

[Ezio]

Ukraine and Italy now head to head.

Italy at 17%
Ukraine at 13% and starting to take leads at some betshops
Spain at 2%

Every other known act so far at 1% or below

 

[Bobjan FR]

Looking at the odds on eurovisionworld, there is only 4 website of bets counted currently. Why ? I saw yesterday ukraine and russia were both missing on two of them, but why all countries now ?

Odds Eurovision Song Contest 2024

Who will win the Eurovision Song Contest 2024? Bookmakers have predicted Switzerland with best odds

eurovisionworld.com

 

[Realest]

below ........ for the first Time in History.

1		Italy Mahmood & Blanco - Brividi	19%	3.5	4.15	4	4
2		Ukraine Kalush Orchestra - Stefania	15%	3.25	5.75	5.8	7.2
3		Australia	10%	5.5	6.25	10	10
4		Poland Krystian Ochman - River	6%	10	12	18	18
5		Sweden	5%	13	12	18	18
6		Greece artist: Amanda Tenfjord	4%	15	17	21	21
7		Norway Subwoolfer - Give That Wolf a Banana	4%	15	13	30	30
8		Switzerland	4%	21	16	19	19
9		United Kingdom	3%	23	23	32	32
10		Spain Chanel - SloMo	3%	23	24	36	36
11		France	2%	21	27	48	46
12		Finland	2%	34	27	40	40
13		Portugal	2%	41	36	29	29
14		Armenia	2%	51	33	44	44
15		Cyprus	2%	41	41	55	55
16		Belgium artist: Jérémie Makiese	2%	51	36	55	55
17		Netherlands artist: S10	1%	51	41	60	60
18		San Marino Achille Lauro - Stripper	1%	41	46	70	70
19		Iceland	1%	51	31	130	120
20		Azerbaijan artist: Nadir Rüstəmli	1%	51	51	120	110
21		Bulgaria Intelligent Music Project - Intention	1%	29	51	180	160
22		Estonia Stefan - Hope	1%	51	61	180	160
23		Montenegro Vladana - Breathe	1%	101	101	70	160
24		Germany	1%	34	51	290	250
25		Latvia Citi Zēni - Eat Your Salad	1%	67	71	220	190
25		Russia	1%	101	51	200	170
27		Czech Republic We Are Domi - Lights Off	1%	51	51	300	250
28		Serbia	1%	51	61	300	310
29		Denmark	1%	67	51	300	330
30		Lithuania Monika Liu - Sentimentai	1%	67	61	300	250
31		Croatia Mia Dimšić - Guilty Pleasure	1%	67	61	300	400
32		Austria LUM!X & Pia Maria - Halo	1%	101	101	230	190
33		Moldova şi Zdub & Advahov - Trenuleţul	<1%	101	101	270	260
34		Albania Ronela Hajati - Sekret	<1%	101	81	300	290
35		Malta Emma Muscat - Out of Sight	<1%	101	101	300	250
36		Georgia artist: Circus Mircus	<1%	101	101	300	320
37		Ireland Brooke Scullion - That's Rich	<1%	51	81	500	520
38		Israel Michael Ben David - I.M	<1%	81	81	500	430
39		Slovenia LPS - Disko	<1%	67	71	500	700
40		Romania	<1%	101	101	500	610
41		North Macedonia Andrea - Circles	<1%	101	101	500	630

 

[Mainshow]

How can Russia drop so massively WHILST Germany is still sitting at #24 out of 25 participants in the GF

 

[heke1988]

How can Russia drop so massively WHILST Germany is still sitting at #24 out of 25 participants in the GF

I think because yesterday's attack to Ukraine has effected Russian drop. This is only a good thing.

 

[Mainshow]

I think because yesterday's attack to Ukraine has effected Russian drop. This is only a good thing.

Yeah, I agree with you and think the same - I just think it´s "hilarious" that keeps on dropping even though ESC lost "one of its favourites" and thus, Germany´s chances to win should have improved instead

 

[lilka]

 

[Realest]

We have a new Leader and last Place.

1		Ukraine K. Orchestra - Stefania	21%	3.85	3.9	2.63	4.6
2		Italy Mahmood & Blanco - Brividi	20%	3.85	3.95	3.25	3.95
3		Australia Sheldon Riley - Not the Same	5%	13	16	13	16
4		Poland Krystian Ochman - River	5%	15	19	12	19
5		Sweden	5%	15	18	13	18
6		Greece artist: Amanda Tenfjord	4%	18	21	15	21
7		Norway Subwoolfer - Give That Wolf a Banana	4%	16	25	15	25
8		Switzerland	4%	18	22	21	22
9		United Kingdom	3%	26	32	23	32
10		Spain Chanel - SloMo	3%	27	40	23	40
11		Portugal	2%	25	32	34	32
12		France	2%	31	38	26	38
13		Finland	2%	31	34	34	34
14		Armenia	2%	36	50	51	48
15		Cyprus	1%	51	65	41	65
16		San Marino Achille Lauro - Stripper	1%	51	75	41	70
17		Netherlands artist: S10	1%	51	65	51	65
18		Belgium artist: Jérémie Makiese	1%	51	80	51	75
19		Estonia Stefan - Hope	1%	61	120	51	110
20		Azerbaijan artist: Nadir Rüstəmli	1%	61	130	51	120
21		Iceland	1%	51	170	51	150
22		Montenegro Vladana - Breathe	1%	101	40	101	95
23		Latvia Citi Zēni - Eat Your Salad	1%	71	150	67	130
24		Germany	1%	51	250	34	200
25		Bulgaria Intelligent Music Project - Intention	1%	51	250	41	230
26		Czech Republic We Are Domi - Lights Off	1%	51	300	51	270
27		Serbia	1%	61	300	51	300
28		Denmark	1%	51	300	67	390
29		Lithuania Monika Liu - Sentimentai	1%	61	300	67	300
30		Croatia Mia Dimšić - Guilty Pleasure	1%	61	300	67	400
31		Malta Emma Muscat - Out of Sight	1%	101	260	101	210
32		Albania Ronela Hajati - Sekret	<1%	81	300	101	310
33		Moldova şi Zdub & Advahov - Trenuleţul	<1%	101	290	101	260
34		Austria LUM!X & Pia Maria - Halo	<1%	101	300	101	250
35		Georgia artist: Circus Mircus	<1%	101	300	101	270
36		Ireland Brooke Scullion - That's Rich	<1%	81	500	51	500
37		Israel Michael Ben David - I.M	<1%	81	500	81	520
38		Slovenia LPS - Disko	<1%	71	500	67	800
39		North Macedonia Andrea - Circles	<1%	101	500	101	480
40		Romania	<1%	101	1000	101	610

 

[Kaz]

I find it hilarious that the entire bottom 3rd of the odds are all filled with songs which have been released. I feel like that's kind of a testament to the weakness of ESC 2022 when the oddsmakers are saying that every non-existent song (except Romania LMAO) has a higher chance of winning than half of all our known songs so far.

 

[Loindici]

Ukraine being 36% is both understandable... and kind of unfortunate? It's like one vote for Ukraine will be a statement of I stand with Ukraine, but it didn't mean much towards the song quality nor strength of the other competitors.

 

[StephenMuckle]

If Ukraine doesn't win this now, the bookies will take big losses. It's almost like betting on Ukraine is a risky bet. You'll lose your money if they don't win but the odds they have at the minute you are unlikely to get anything close to a decent payout or if their odds shorten even further you'll get even less back than what you bet on.

 

[Zerocalcare]

If Ukraine doesn't win this now, the bookies will take big losses. It's almost like betting on Ukraine is a risky bet. You'll lose your money if they don't win but the odds they have at the minute you are unlikely to get anything close to a decent payout or if their odds shorten even further you'll get even less back than what you bet on.

Actually I think bookmakers are smart. With odds they have painted a situation of stability where anyone can win. Putting Ukraine in the first position is tantamount to telling you not to vote for them. Many fans will invest in the Top 10 nations and the payouts could be high.

 

[Realest]

55 Days before the Grand Final.

 

[lilka]

So... this time it's Greece (or Poland, hopefully and finally)?